The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 21.3%
Draw 23.1%
Lincoln City 55.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.2%
23.7%
60.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.7%
22.9%
62.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.
Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Vale that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lincoln City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
0%
83.3%
Port Vale - Lincoln City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Gauci J. (G) 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 35. Magloire T. 25. Humphreys C. 15. Gordon L. 12. Walters R. 28. Ward G. 33. Hall G. 8. Garrity B. (C) 50. Hernandez O. 21. Sherif M.
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 25. Elerewe D. 15. Bradley S. 6. Towler R. 8. Bayliss T. 14. McGrandles C. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 10. Moylan J. 18. House B. 17. Street R.
Substitutes
13. Amos B. (G) 11. Archer E. 7. Byers G. 18. Croasdale R. 5. Hall C. 4. Heneghan B. 31. Lake E.
28. Conteh K. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 16. Jefferies D. 19. Lloyd A. 20. One R. 12. Ring E. 11. Thorn O.
Coaches
Brady J.
Skubala M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, House B. ⚽, Moylan J. (A),
22', McGrandles C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Street R. ⚽,
57', Ward G. ↓, Byers G. ↑,
58', Gordon L. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
65', Darikwa T. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
66', House B. ↓, One R. ↑,
66', Hernandez O. ↓, Archer E. ↑,
66', Walters R. ↓, Croasdale R. ↑,
66', McGrandles C. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
73', Conteh K. 🟨,
74', Moylan J. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
75', Street R. ↓, Ring E. ↑,
83', Hall G. ↓, Lake E. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
Port Vale has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lincoln is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Lincoln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of away games.
In this match, Lincoln is the team to beat.
There will not play in Port Vale: Gray A.
(Inactive)
Kyle John
(Inactive)
Ojo F.
(Inactive)
Stockley J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Draper F.
(Injury)
Honohan J.
(Health problems)
Reach A.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Hall C.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Lincoln: Hamer T.
(Inactive)
Jackson A.
(Surgery)
Thorn O.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.9:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.8:2.4).
United-kingdom
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Gauci J. (G) 
Lawrence-Gabriel J. 
Gordon L. 
Hernandez O. 
Sherif M. 
Darikwa T. (C) 
McGrandles C. 
Hackett-Fairchild R. 
Moylan J. 
Conteh K. 
Jefferies D. 
Ring E. 
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