The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 28.1%
Draw 30.5%
Wigan Athletic 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
30.3%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
29.9%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.1%
5.3%
73.7%
Port Vale - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Wigan will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 53.9% – 93.5%.
46. Gauci J. (G) 50. Hernandez O. 25. Humphreys C. 5. Hall C. 27. Campbell E. 26. Shipley J. 15. Gordon L. 18. Croasdale R. 8. Garrity B. (C) 11. Archer E. 10. Brown D.
1. Tickle S. (G) 23. Carragher J. 4. Aimson W. 3. Fox M. 21. Borges Rodrigues R. 6. Weir J. (C) 17. Smith M. 7. Murray F. 8. Wright C. 10. Taylor J. 11. Costelloe D.
Substitutes
13. Amos B. (G) 33. Hall G. 3. Headley J. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 21. Sherif M. 19. Waine B. 12. Walters R.
43. Bettoni H. 44. Hungbo J. 33. Moxon O. 19. Robinson L. 30. Savin T. (G) 9. Saydee C. 14. Trevitt R.
Coaches
Brady J.
Caldwell G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brown D. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
60', Costelloe D. ↓, Trevitt R. ↑,
68', Hernandez O. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
71', Gordon L. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
74', Smith M. ↓, Bettoni H. ↑,
74', Borges Rodrigues R. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
78', Croasdale R. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
78', Shipley J. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
86', Wright C. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
90+8', Carragher J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.
Recent performances by Port Vale have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wigan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Port Vale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Wigan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Injury)
Heneghan B.
(Injury)
Kyle John
(Inactive)
Ojo F.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Wigan: Adeeko B.
(Inactive)
Francois T.
(Inactive)
Hunt J.
(Injury)
Mabaya I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
McHugh H.
(Inactive)
Rogers J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Stockley J.
(Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).
Outrights of English League One for now
Wigan: 0.57%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
24
Wigan
8
1
1
6
5:13
-8
4
Last Results with these Odds
Port Vale - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.46%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.
Wigan Athletic - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.25%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
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Gauci J. (G) 
Hernandez O. 
Humphreys C. 
Shipley J. 
Gordon L. 
Brown D. 
Carragher J. 
Fox M. 
Murray F. 
Sherif M. 
Waine B. 
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