The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 60.4%
Draw 24.2%
Oldham Athletic 15.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.1%
24.5%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.2%
24.5%
15.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Port Vale - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 22).
Port Vale has the most likely position - 3 (29.53%), has project points - 79, has currently - 69, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a good chance of promoted (63%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Oldham has the most likely position - 22 (39.42%), has project points - 42, has currently - 37, has a chance of relegated (29%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
This event has very small quality9, big importance75, match rating42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 1.
Port Vale in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Oldham is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Oldham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Oldham have a series of home games.
In this match Port Vale is the unquestionable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Port Vale to win the game is with odds 1.55.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.
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