Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)

Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Portimonense		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.7
	2.42	3.2	2.78
	2.57	3.27	2.92
	2.39	3.41	2.84	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.7
	2.42	3.26	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.38)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	2.8 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
37.8%

Draw
29.1%

Lusitânia
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.4%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Portimonense - Lusitânia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Lusitânia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Portimonense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 32. Jarleysom 8. Lobato S. 73. Junior M. 16. Thauan Lara 18. Mamede 87. Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 31. Edney 21. Dauda M. 17. Joao Reis (C) 90. Canario F.	32. Vitor Hugo (G) 3. Josue Sa 22. Faria B. 5. Silverio (C) 60. Danny 88. Teixeira M. 27. Fabinho 6. Alhassan I. 16. Rocha L. 11. Pereira M. 7. Martins R.
Substitutes
47. Cagro W. 77. Cibois S. (G) 19. Dju M. 40. Joao Vitor 50. Kait K. 93. Welinton Junior 65. Wellington Santana (G)	29. Cerveira T. 4. Collard D. 21. Joao Vasco 28. Mesquita T. 24. Mimito 9. Silva J. 23. Sousa M. (G) 77. Tiago Dias 8. Tokinho Doria
Coaches
Fernandes T.	Miguel Pedro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Alhassan I. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
46', Teixeira M. ↓, Tokinho Doria ↑,
48', Canario F. (Penalty Awarded),
52', Mamede 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Faria B. ⚽, Silva J. (A),
61', 0 - 2, Rocha L. ⚽,
62', Thauan Lara ↓, Cagro W. ↑,
62', Canario F. ↓, Welinton Junior ↑,
65', Pancadas Casimiro J. D. ↓, Dju M. ↑,
66', Martins R. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Dauda M. ⚽, Edney (A),
69', Martins R. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
72', Fernandes T. 🟨,
77', Pereira M. 🟨,
79', Cagro W. 🟨,
80', Tokinho Doria 🟨,
84', Fabinho (Penalty Awarded),
85', Faria B. ↓, Collard D. ↑,
85', Fabinho ↓, Mimito ↑,
89', Junior M. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Dauda M. ⚽, Junior M. (A),
90+12', 3 - 2, Cagro W. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lusitânia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portimonense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lusitania FC	6	5	1	0	11:4	7	16
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
12.04.26	Marítimo - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Oliveirense - Portimonense	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Portimonense - Porto B	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Torreense - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Portimonense - Paços de Ferreira	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLL
- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 2
13.04.26	Lusitânia - Porto B	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Leiria - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Lusitânia - Académico de Viseu	0:3 ✺
15.03.26	Vizela - Lusitânia	4:3 ✺
08.03.26	Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.12.25	Lusitânia - Portimonense	3:2

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