Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Fitzpatrick Stadium (Portland, ME)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Portland Hearts of Pine		Detroit City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.96	3.2	2.02
	3.82	3.14	1.97	Watch
	3.78	3.32	1.94	Watch
	3.6	3.2	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.6)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	1.98 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Hearts of Pine
24.9%

Draw
28.7%

Detroit City
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

28.3%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

26.4%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-3%)

Portland Hearts of Pine - Detroit City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Oladapo K. (G) 21. Quinones C. 4. Mahlamaki S. 66. Green K. 3. Messer N. 80. Kamara J. 5. Lopez M. (C) 8. Poon-Angeron M. 47. James N. 10. Wright O. 9. Liadi A.	91. Saldana C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 5. Carroll S. . (C) 30. Amoo-Mensah D. 3. Villanueva A. 6. Chapman J. 24. Gasso D. 11. Rutz C. 10. Cedeno J. 32. Diouf A. 7. Smith D.
Substitutes
50. Mohamed M. 1. Morse H. (G) 17. Reilly M. 22. Varela W. 7. Vinberg S. 77. Wada M. 14. Washington T.	99. Adebayo-Smith J. 23. Guenzatti S. 21. Herrera C. (G) 9. Morris B. 45. Polisi M. 13. Sheldon M. 4. Wiedt S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Liadi A. ⚽, James N. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Wright O. ⚽, James N. (A),
45+2', Oladapo K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Rutz C. ↓, Guenzatti S. ↑,
46', Diouf A. ↓, Wiedt S. ↑,
46', Cedeno J. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
46', Green K. ↓, Vinberg S. ↑,
46', Quinones C. ↓, Mohamed M. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Guenzatti S. ⚽, Chapman J. (A),
59', James N. ↓, Wada M. ↑,
68', Yamazaki H. ↓, Sheldon M. ↑,
72', Chapman J. 🟨,
76', Wright O. ↓, Varela W. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Varela W. ⚽, Kamara J. (A),
79', Chapman J. ↓, Adebayo-Smith J. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Smith D. ⚽, Sheldon M. (A),
82', Liadi A. ↓, Washington T. ↑,
85', 4 - 2, Mohamed M. ⚽, Kamara J. (A),

Preview

Hearts of Pine has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Detroit City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Detroit City has had a series of away games.

Detroit City might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One
24.05.25	Forward Madison - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	Hartford Athletic - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWTTL
- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
24.05.25	Detroit City - Charleston Battery	1:3 ✺
18.05.25	Birmingham Legion - Detroit City	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Hartford Athletic - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Chicago Fire - Detroit City	4:0 ✺
USL Championship
03.05.25	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTTLT

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