The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 46.7%
Draw 25.1%
New York Red Bulls 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
25.5%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.8%
26.3%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
The chances for New York Red Bulls have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
11.1%
44.4%
Portland Timbers - New York Red Bulls Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 11.9% – 76.9%.
41. Pantemis J. (G) 29. Mosquera J. 20. Surman F. 13. Zuparic D. 27. Fory J. 80. Ortiz J. 35. Rojas M. 24. Ayala D. 99. Velde K. 9. Mora F. 11. Antony
31. Carlos Coronel (G) 12. Nealis D. 3. Eile N. 26. Parker T. 44. Edwards R. 8. Stroud P. 75. Edelman D. 19. Carmona W. 10. Forsberg E. 37. Sofo M. 13. Choupo-Moting E. M.
Substitutes
21. Chara D. 22. Fernandez O. 19. Kelsy K. 7. Lassiter A. 15. Miller E. 4. Miller K. 25. Muse T. (G) 17. Paredes C. 10. Pereira da Costa D.
4. Berggren G. 48. Donkor R. 6. Duncan K. 22. Gjengaar D. 16. Hall J. 23. McCarthy J. (G) 14. Morales M. 15. Nealis S. 81. Ngoma S.
Coaches
Neville P.
Schwarz S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Rojas M. ⚽, Velde K. (A), Fory J. (A2)
36', Velde K. 🟨,
38', Stroud P. 🟨,
45+1', Choupo-Moting E. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Edelman D. ↓, Berggren G. ↑,
46', Stroud P. ↓, Donkor R. ↑,
57', Rojas M. ↓, Pereira da Costa D. ↑,
57', Mora F. ↓, Kelsy K. ↑,
61', Fory J. 🟨,
64', Carmona W. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Forsberg E. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Antony ⚽, Kelsy K. (A), Mosquera J. (A2)
75', Ayala D. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
75', Ortiz J. ↓, Chara D. ↑,
81', Velde K. ↓, Lassiter A. ↑,
81', Edwards R. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
81', Sofo M. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.
Recent form of Portland has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
NY Red Bulls has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
Portland will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Portland: Crepeau M.
(Concussion)
Rodriguez J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C.
(Knee Injury)
Marcucci A.
(Knee Injury)
Morgan L.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Valencia O.
(Illness)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Portland won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
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Pantemis J. (G) 
Mosquera J. 
Surman F. 
Zuparic D. 
Ortiz J. 
Rojas M. 
Ayala D. 
Velde K. 
Mora F. 
Antony 
Nealis D. 
Eile N. 
Carmona W. 
Sofo M. 
Choupo-Moting E. M. 
Lassiter A. 
Pereira da Costa D. 
Duncan K. 
Neville P. 
Schwarz S. 
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