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Current Win Probability
Olympique Marseille 10.2%
Draw 17.7%
Manchester City 72.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.1%
19%
68.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.9%
11%
39.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-32.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.9%
5.1%
81%
Olympique Marseille - Manchester City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Manchester City will win
(111 of 137 users predict this - 81.02%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.45% – 87.59%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
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Marseille has a small chance of round of 16 (12%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Man City has a very good chance of round of 16 (96%), has a good chance of qtrs (68%), has a chance of semis (44%), has a chance of final (26%), has a small chance of win league (15%).
Recent matches Marseille is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Man City is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Man City is the unquestionable favorite.
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