What is the expert prediction for Estrela da Amadora vs Porto?

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Estrela da Amadora vs Porto Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, April 26, 2026)

Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Ring
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Uruguay	Antel TV
World	Onefootball


	Estrela da Amadora		Porto

	1	X	2
	9.5	5.25	1.27	Watch
	8	4.8	1.35
	11	4.95	1.29
	10.81	5.61	1.31
	10.61	5.52	1.3	Watch
	10	5	1.29	Watch
	11.4	5.78	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.19 ↓ (10.9)	5.27 ↓ (5.33)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
9.3%

Draw
18%

Porto
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.9%

18.2%

72.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	0%	94.1%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Porto will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 82.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Porto (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Grilo D. (G) 21. Scholze M. 4. Lekovic S. 83. Otavio 24. Langa B. 39. Doue G. 6. Jansson K. 99. Marcus A. 10. Stoica I. 8. Robinho 9. Rodrigo Pinho (C)	99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 3. Thiago Silva 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 8. Froholdt V. 13. Rosario P. 10. Veiga G. 11. Pepê 27. Gul D. 77. Pietuszewski O.
Substitutes
80. Alisson Souza 13. Dudu (G) 17. Encada J. 11. Jovane 30. Luan Patrick 18. Meireles J. 19. Moreira P. 63. Sola A. 20. van Hooijdonk S.	14. Claudio Ramos (G) 52. Fernandes M. 42. Fofana S. 29. Moffi T. 86. Mora R. 74. Moura F. 21. Prpic D. 17. Sainz B. 7. William Gomes
Coaches
Nuno J.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', Jansson K. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Gul D. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Gul D. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Gul D. ⚽, Costa A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jansson K. ↓, Encada J. ↑,
46', Scholze M. ↓, Jovane ↑,
46', Doue G. ↓, Moreira P. ↑,
61', Pepê ↓, William Gomes ↑,
61', Gul D. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
70', Costa A. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
70', Veiga G. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
72', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
73', Stoica I. ↓, Alisson Souza ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Jovane ⚽, van Hooijdonk S. (A),
82', Moffi T. 🟨,
84', Kiwior J. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
86', Lekovic S. 🟨,
89', van Hooijdonk S. 🟨,
90+4', Costa D. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Estrela is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Porto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Estrela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Porto is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Samu (Knee Injury) Zaidu (Injury) de Jong L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Estrela: Bernardo Schappo (Injury) Drame I. (Injury) Gbomadu M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Porto: Fernandes M. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
19.04.26	Arouca - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Estrela da Amadora - Sporting Lisbon	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Nacional - Estrela da Amadora	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Estrela da Amadora - Casa Pia	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- FC Porto
Taça de Portugal
22.04.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
19.04.26	Porto - Tondela	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Porto	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
12.04.26	Estoril Praia - Porto	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.04.26	Porto - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
15.12.25	Porto - Estrela da Amadora	3:1
26.04.25	Estrela da Amadora - Porto	2:0
16.12.24	Porto - Estrela da Amadora	2:0
17.02.24	Porto - Estrela da Amadora	2:0
15.09.23	Estrela da Amadora - Porto	0:1

Estrela da Amadora - Porto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide