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Current Win Probability
Estrela da Amadora 9.3%
Draw 18%
Porto 72.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
8.9%
18.2%
72.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.9%
0%
94.1%
Estrela da Amadora - Porto Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Porto (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Porto will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Grilo D. (G) 21. Scholze M. 4. Lekovic S. 83. Otavio 24. Langa B. 39. Doue G. 6. Jansson K. 99. Marcus A. 10. Stoica I. 8. Robinho 9. Rodrigo Pinho (C)
99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 3. Thiago Silva 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 8. Froholdt V. 13. Rosario P. 10. Veiga G. 11. Pepรช 27. Gul D. 77. Pietuszewski O.
Substitutes
80. Alisson Souza 13. Dudu (G) 17. Encada J. 11. Jovane 30. Luan Patrick 18. Meireles J. 19. Moreira P. 63. Sola A. 20. van Hooijdonk S.
14. Claudio Ramos (G) 52. Fernandes M. 42. Fofana S. 29. Moffi T. 86. Mora R. 74. Moura F. 21. Prpic D. 17. Sainz B. 7. William Gomes
Coaches
Nuno J.
Farioli F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
15', Jansson K. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Gul D. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Gul D. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Gul D. ⚽, Costa A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jansson K. ↓, Encada J. ↑,
46', Scholze M. ↓, Jovane ↑,
46', Doue G. ↓, Moreira P. ↑,
61', Pepรช ↓, William Gomes ↑,
61', Gul D. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
70', Costa A. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
70', Veiga G. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
72', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
73', Stoica I. ↓, Alisson Souza ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Jovane ⚽, van Hooijdonk S. (A),
82', Moffi T. 🟨,
84', Kiwior J. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
86', Lekovic S. 🟨,
89', van Hooijdonk S. 🟨,
90+4', Costa D. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Estrela is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Porto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Estrela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Porto is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Porto: Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Samu
(Knee Injury)
Zaidu
(Injury)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Estrela: Bernardo Schappo
(Injury)
Drame I.
(Injury)
Gbomadu M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Porto: Fernandes M.
(Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).