The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portsmouth 25.9%
Draw 26.8%
Sunderland 47.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
27.4%
41.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
26.6%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
4.8%
4.8%
90.5%
Portsmouth - Sunderland Predictions
Users Predictions:
84 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 4 - 4.8%). Sunderland will win (votes: 76 - 90.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 4.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 84.2% – 96.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Norris W. (G) 22. Swanson Z. 2. Williams J. 4. Towler R. 3. Ogilvie C. 7. Pack M. 21. Dozzell A. 30. Ritchie M. 49. Lang C. 20. Silvera S. 15. Saydee C.
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 13. O'Nien L. 5. Ballard D. 3. Cirkin D. 8. Browne A. 11. Rigg C. 10. Roberts P. 7. Bellingham J. 14. Mundle R. 12. Mayenda E.
Substitutes
29. Blair H. 5. Bowat I. 25. Kamara A. 32. Lane P. 51. O'Mahony M. 19. Potts F. 13. Schmid N. (G) 18. Sorensen E. 10. Yengi K.
44. Crompton B. 33. Hjelde L. F. 18. Isidor W. 50. Jones H. 21. Moore S. (G) 36. Poveda I. 15. Rusyn N. 57. Tutierov T. 40. Watson T.
Coaches
Mousinho J.
Le Bris R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Swanson Z. (Own goal),
44', Rigg C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 0 - 2, Mayenda E. ⚽,
56', 0 - 3, Mundle R. ⚽,
59', Saydee C. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
60', Dozzell A. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
60', Silvera S. ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
60', Ritchie M. ↓, O'Mahony M. ↑,
73', Roberts P. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
73', Mundle R. ↓, Poveda I. ↑,
78', Kamara A. 🟨,
79', Lang C. ↓, Blair H. ↑,
87', Mayenda E. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
88', Swanson Z. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, O'Nien L. (Own goal),
90+2', Yengi K. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 3.
Recent matches Portsmouth is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Sunderland is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sunderland will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Portsmouth: Farrell J.
(Knee Injury)
McIntyre T.
(Leg Injury)
Murphy J.
(Ankle Injury)
Poole R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Sunderland: Huggins N.
(Knee Injury)
Neil D.
(Red Card)
Seelt J.
(Knee Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.
Last Results with these Odds
Sunderland - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.81%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Norris W. (G) 
Ritchie M. 
Silvera S. 
Hume T. 
Browne A. 
Mayenda E. 
Kamara A. 
Schmid N. (G) 
Sorensen E. 
Hjelde L. F. 
Poveda I. 
Rusyn N. 
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