The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portsmouth 65.2%
Draw 21.1%
Swindon Town 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.2%
20.9%
13.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
78.1%
17.4%
11.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Portsmouth have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portsmouth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.9%
13.9%
22.2%
Portsmouth - Swindon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Swindon will win (votes: 8 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 48.2% – 79.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to League One (Play Offs) and 21 in the zone Relegation to League Two).
Portsmouth has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (43%), has a small chance of win league (14%).
Swindon has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Portsmouth is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Swindon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Swindon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Portsmouth have a series of home games.
In this match Portsmouth is certain favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
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