Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 11

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Dr. Oswaldo Teixeira Duarte (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)


	Portuguesa		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2.1
	3.4	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.45	3.15	2.16
	3.73	3.25	2.13
	3.3	3.2	2.05
	3.5	3.26	2.06
	3.35	3.15	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.3)	3.19 ↑ (3)	2.1 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa
26.8%

Draw
29.1%

Mirassol
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

30.8%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

29.6%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Portuguesa - Mirassol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thomazella (G) 3. Quintana Y. 4. Robson 5. Patrick 2. Gustavo Talles 8. Ricardinho 7. Taua Antunes 6. Eduardo Diniz 10. Giovanni Augusto (C) 9. Henrique Dourado 19. Maceio	23. Alex Muralha (G) 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 3. Lucas Gazal 4. Luiz Otavio 28. Warley 8. Danielzinho 27. Gabriel (C) 11. Negueba 10. Chico Kim 7. Fernandinho 49. Dellatorre
Substitutes
11. Chrigor 14. da Silva Ferreira P. H. 18. Denis 15. Diogo Silva 13. Douglas Borel 16. Eduardo 24. Leandro P. B. 20. Luccas Paraizo 12. Rafael Pascoal (G) 21. Renan Gorne 23. Rone 17. Ze Ricardo	21. Diego Goncalves 44. Henri 14. Isaque 16. Marcelo Nunes 26. Miguel Silva 77. Paulinho Boia 18. Ronald Lopes 12. Sidnei (G) 1. Vanderlei (G) 33. Wanderson 13. Wesley Santos 5. Yuri Lima
Coaches
Pintado	Mozart

Preview

Portuguesa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mirassol is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portuguesa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mirassol will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.02.24	Portuguesa - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Botafogo SP - Portuguesa	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Portuguesa - Guarani	1:0 ✺
15.02.24	Portuguesa - Água Santa	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Corinthians - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWTL
- Mirassol
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
24.02.24	Palmeiras - Mirassol	3:1 ✺
17.02.24	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Ituano - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Mirassol - Santos	2:2 ✺
08.02.24	Mirassol - Santo André	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.03.23	Mirassol - Portuguesa	1:2

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