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Portsmouth - Arsenal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • FA Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
  • Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)
  • Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Portsmouth Arsenal
    Portsmouth Arsenal
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 15.28 ↑
    (11.49)    		 8.08 ↑
    (6.35)    		 1.15 ↓
    (1.23)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

    • The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Portsmouth
    6.2%    		Draw
    11.7%    		Arsenal
    82.1%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    8.2% 14.9% 76.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal's recent form is better than expected.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    0% 6.2% 93.7%

    Portsmouth - Arsenal Predictions

  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +2 - Portsmouth (2.13) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Arsenal (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Arsenal (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    26. EnglandBursik J. (G)
    24. NorthernDevlin T.
      5. WalesPoole R.
      6. IrelandShaughnessy C.
    22. EnglandSwanson Z.
    21. EnglandDozzell A.
    16. SouthLe Roux L.
    10. AustraliaSegecic A.
    36. EnglandChaplin C.
    29. EnglandBlair H.
      9. EnglandBishop C. (C)
    		13. SpainArrizabalaga K. (G)
      4. EnglandWhite B.
    16. DenmarkNorgaard C.
      6. BrazilGabriel
    49. EnglandLewis-Skelly M.
    22. EnglandNwaneri E.
    23. SpainMerino M. (C)
    10. EnglandEze E.
    20. EnglandMadueke N.
      9. BrazilGabriel Jesus
    11. BrazilMartinelli G.
    Substitutes
    17. ScotlandBowat I.
    19. AustraliaFarrell J.
    30. EnglandKillip B. (G)
    25. NorthernKirk M.
      3. EnglandOgilvie C.
      7. EnglandPack M.
      8. EnglandSwift J.
    15. IrelandUmeh F.
      2. EnglandWilliams J.
    		14. SwedenGyökeres V.
    29. GermanyHavertz K.
      8. NorwayOdegaard M.
      1. SpainRaya D. (G)
    41. EnglandRice D.
      7. EnglandSaka B.
    89. EnglandSalmon M.
    12. NetherlandsTimber J.
    36. SpainZubimendi M.
    Coaches
         EnglandMousinho J.
    		     SpainArteta M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 2)
    • 3', 1 - 0, Bishop C. ⚽,
    • 8', 1 - 1, Dozzell A. (Own goal),
    • 25', 1 - 2, Martinelli G. ⚽, Madueke N. (A),
    • 40', Blair H. ↓, Umeh F. ↑,
    • 43', Madueke N. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 45', Lewis-Skelly M. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
    • 51', 1 - 3, Martinelli G. ⚽, Gabriel Jesus (A),
    • 55', Le Roux L. 🟨,
    • 62', Le Roux L. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
    • 62', Shaughnessy C. ↓, Ogilvie C. ↑,
    • 68', White B. 🟨,
    • 69', Gabriel Jesus ↓, Havertz K. ↑,
    • 69', Nwaneri E. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
    • 69', White B. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
    • 72', 1 - 4, Martinelli G. ⚽, Madueke N. (A),
    • 73', Swanson Z. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
    • 73', Segecic A. ↓, Swift J. ↑,
    • 76', Gabriel ↓, Salmon M. ↑,
    • 82', Martinelli G. ↓, Zubimendi M. ↑,

    Preview

  • Recent performances by Portsmouth have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Arsenal is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Portsmouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Recently, Arsenal has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, Arsenal is the clear favorite.
  • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
  • Including home match between the teams, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

    • Outrights of English FA Cup for now
    Arsenal: 12.23% Portsmouth: 0.32%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Portsmouth FC
    English League Championship
    01.01.26 Bristol City - Portsmouth 5:0 ✺
    29.12.25 Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic 2:1 ✺
    26.12.25 Portsmouth - Queens Park Rangers 1:1 ✺
    20.12.25 Derby County - Portsmouth 1:1 ✺
    13.12.25 Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13
    LWTTW
    - Arsenal FC
    English Premier League
    08.01.26 Arsenal - Liverpool 0:0 ✺
    03.01.26 Bournemouth - Arsenal 2:3 ✺
    30.12.25 Arsenal - Aston Villa 4:1 ✺
    27.12.25 Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 ✺
    English League Cup
    23.12.25 Arsenal - Crystal Palace 2:1 penalties ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2
    TWWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    English FA Cup
    02.03.20 Portsmouth - Arsenal 0:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Portsmouth FC
    English League Championship
    17.10.26 Norwich City - Portsmouth ✺
    14.10.26 Portsmouth - Sheffield United ✺
    11.10.26 Southampton - Portsmouth ✺
    - Arsenal FC
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Arsenal - Lille ✺

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