Match Info

FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Andorra	15:00	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	01:00	Stan Sport
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	11:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	16:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:00	SportsNet 1, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	11:00	Disney+
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	15:00	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	16:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 5, Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live
Hungary	15:00	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	Sport 1
Italy	15:00	DAZN Italia, Discovery+
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	20:00	Qazsport, Sport+
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Kosovo	15:00	Arena Premium 1
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	08:00	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
Nigeria	15:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	15:00	Viaplay
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV3
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	22:00	HUB Sports 2
Slovakia	15:00	Voyo
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	17:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	16:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	14:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+


	Portsmouth		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	12	8.5	1.13
	10.5	6	1.22
	18.5	9.3	1.12
	16.37	8.08	1.15	Watch
	19	8	1.13
	13.6	9.18	1.18	Watch
	17	7.5	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.28 ↑ (11.49)	8.08 ↑ (6.35)	1.15 ↓ (1.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
6.2%

Draw
11.7%

Arsenal
82.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

8.2%

14.9%

76.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.2%	93.7%

Portsmouth - Arsenal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Portsmouth (2.13) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Arsenal (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Arsenal (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bursik J. (G) 24. Devlin T. 5. Poole R. 6. Shaughnessy C. 22. Swanson Z. 21. Dozzell A. 16. Le Roux L. 10. Segecic A. 36. Chaplin C. 29. Blair H. 9. Bishop C. (C)	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 4. White B. 16. Norgaard C. 6. Gabriel 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 22. Nwaneri E. 23. Merino M. (C) 10. Eze E. 20. Madueke N. 9. Gabriel Jesus 11. Martinelli G.
Substitutes
17. Bowat I. 19. Farrell J. 30. Killip B. (G) 25. Kirk M. 3. Ogilvie C. 7. Pack M. 8. Swift J. 15. Umeh F. 2. Williams J.	14. Gyökeres V. 29. Havertz K. 8. Odegaard M. 1. Raya D. (G) 41. Rice D. 7. Saka B. 89. Salmon M. 12. Timber J. 36. Zubimendi M.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Bishop C. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Dozzell A. (Own goal),
25', 1 - 2, Martinelli G. ⚽, Madueke N. (A),
40', Blair H. ↓, Umeh F. ↑,
43', Madueke N. (Penalty Awarded),
45', Lewis-Skelly M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 3, Martinelli G. ⚽, Gabriel Jesus (A),
55', Le Roux L. 🟨,
62', Le Roux L. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
62', Shaughnessy C. ↓, Ogilvie C. ↑,
68', White B. 🟨,
69', Gabriel Jesus ↓, Havertz K. ↑,
69', Nwaneri E. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
69', White B. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
72', 1 - 4, Martinelli G. ⚽, Madueke N. (A),
73', Swanson Z. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
73', Segecic A. ↓, Swift J. ↑,
76', Gabriel ↓, Salmon M. ↑,
82', Martinelli G. ↓, Zubimendi M. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Portsmouth have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arsenal is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Portsmouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Arsenal has had a series of home games.

In this match, Arsenal is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Arsenal: 13.29% Portsmouth: 0.35%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
01.01.26	Bristol City - Portsmouth	5:0 ✺
29.12.25	Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Portsmouth - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Derby County - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWTTW
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
08.01.26	Arsenal - Liverpool	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Bournemouth - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
30.12.25	Arsenal - Aston Villa	4:1 ✺
27.12.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.12.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
02.03.20	Portsmouth - Arsenal	0:2

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