Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Vercelli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aldi C. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Pro Vercelli		Ospitaletto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	3.30	2.05
	3.15	3.20	2.00	Watch
	3.42	3.38	2.16
	3.09	3.27	2.18	Watch
	3.35	3.30	2.08
	3.17	3.43	2.17	Watch
	3.05	3.40	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (3.06)	3.33 ↑ (3.14)	2.09 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Vercelli
28.8%

Draw
27.5%

Ospitaletto
43.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.1%

29.3%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

28.5%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Vercelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Pro Vercelli - Ospitaletto Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pro Vercelli will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ospitaletto will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pro Vercelli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Del Favero M. (G) 16. Ronchi N. 30. Moretti A. 3. Coccolo L. 18. Piran L. 8. Burruano A. 14. Iotti I. (C) 17. Ciammaglichella A. 25. Pagliari M. 11. Sow O. 9. Bertoli M.	22. Ferrante M. (G) 16. Gualandris M. 4. Nessi R. 3. Possenti M. 20. Casali M. 26. Mondini G. 28. Panatti M. (C) 14. Galuppini F. 8. Tigani E. 7. Messaggi C. 9. Gobbi F.
Substitutes
28. Carosso A. 6. el Bakkali Z. 44. Furno C. 43. La Mantia G. 7. Mallahi M. 1. Passador P. (G) 69. Patriarca F. 23. Perotti C. 45. Satriano A. 4. Van Koeverden L. 32. Zacchera G.	10. Cantamessa S. 1. Fratti C. (G) 43. Guarneri M. 55. Mundi R. (G) 18. Paganotti M. 15. Parmiggiani P. 17. Plutnik A. 77. Stefanoni D. 21. Torri A. 45. Valente M. 24. Valota G.
Coaches
Bonera D.	Quaresmini A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Galuppini F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Burruano A. ⚽, Bertoli M. (A),
61', Ciammaglichella A. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Galuppini F. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Messaggi C. ↓, Stefanoni D. ↑,
70', Tigani E. ↓, Guarneri M. ↑,
74', Possenti M. ↓, Parmiggiani P. ↑,
75', Gobbi F. ↓, Valente M. ↑,
82', Ciammaglichella A. ↓, Carosso A. ↑,
83', Sow O. ↓, Patriarca F. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Pagliari M. ⚽,
87', Mondini G. ↓, Torri A. ↑,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 17th in the Serie C - Play Out and 5th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

Recent results have been tough for Pro Vercelli (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Ospitaletto have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Pro Vercelli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ospitaletto holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Pro Vercelli has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pro Vercelli against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ospitaletto	12	5	4	3	18:11	7	19
14	Pro Vercelli	11	3	3	5	10:19	-9	12

Last Results with these Odds

Pro Vercelli - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.1%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Ospitaletto - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.57%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Vercelli
Italian Serie C Group A
16.10.26	Pro Vercelli - Lecco	0:5 ✺
09.10.26	Brescia - Pro Vercelli	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Pro Vercelli - Carpi	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
21.09.26	Trento - Pro Vercelli	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWTL
- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
18.10.26	Ospitaletto - Pergolettese	2:3 ✺
11.10.26	Treviso - Ospitaletto	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Ospitaletto - Renate	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Novara - Ospitaletto	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Ospitaletto - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
19.04.26	Pro Vercelli - Ospitaletto	1:0
14.12.25	Ospitaletto - Pro Vercelli	2:0

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