Match Info

Date: 31 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de Villahermosa (Villahermosa)

Referee: Rangel E. (Mex)


	Pumas Tabasco		Tapatío

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.02	3.2	3.3
	2.11	3.15	3.15
	2.2	3.26	3.38
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.07	3.28	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.37)	3.17 ↑ (2.96)	3.24 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pumas Tabasco
43.2%

Draw
28.8%

Tapatío
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

30.1%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pumas Tabasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pumas Tabasco than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	28.6%	35.7%

Pumas Tabasco - Tapatío Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pumas Tabasco will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Tapatío will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pumas Tabasco: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Pumas Tabasco is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tapatío is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tapatío could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pumas Tabasco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Pumas Tabasco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pumas Tabasco
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.08.22	Venados - Pumas Tabasco	2:0 ✺
18.08.22	Pumas Tabasco - Atlante	1:1 ✺
09.08.22	Pumas Tabasco - Alacranes de Durango	2:1 ✺
03.08.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Pumas Tabasco	4:3 ✺
27.07.22	Pumas Tabasco - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWLT
- CD Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.08.22	Tapatío - Cancún	1:0 ✺
11.08.22	Tapatío - Raya2 Expansión	1:1 ✺
03.08.22	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tapatío	4:0 ✺
31.07.22	Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG	0:2 ✺
20.07.22	Celaya - Tapatío	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.02.22	Pumas Tabasco - Tapatío	2:1
05.08.21	Tapatío - Pumas Tabasco	1:2
12.01.21	Pumas Tabasco - Tapatío	0:1
18.11.20	Tapatío - Pumas Tabasco	4:2

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