Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 32

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)

Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	3	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.8
	2.5	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.79	3.15	2.78
	2.6	3.08	3.04
	2.45	3.1	2.75
	2.52	3.06	2.89	Watch
	2.4	3.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.44)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	2.88 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
37%

Draw
30.4%

Warta Poznań
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

29%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

29.6%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	38.5%	7.7%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Warta Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Warta will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Zych O. (G) 67. Revenco I. 27. Solowiej L. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 3. Yakuba R. 14. Serafin J. 16. Walski M. 10. Tomalski H. 70. Hajda W. 6. Lee Jin-Hyun 25. Zapolnik K. (C)	33. Grobelny J. (G) 2. Bartkowski J. 44. Szymonowicz D. 14. Tiru B. 28. Borowski F. 21. Kupczak M. (C) 16. Luis M. 3. Kielb J. 7. Szmyt K. 99. Zrelak A. 47. Prikryl T.
Substitutes
17. Bartosz J. 11. Cholewiak M. 95. Firlej M. 1. Komar K. (G) 93. Poczobut B. 9. Siemaszko A. 19. Stec J. 7. Thiago 13. Wroblewski K. (G)	9. Eppel M. 15. Kopczynski M. 1. Lis A. (G) 25. Paszkowski J. 27. Przybylko K. 24. Rychlik P. 77. Savic S. 29. Vizinger D.
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Szulczek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Zrelak A. ↓, Eppel M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Walski M. ⚽,
60', Wojcinowicz T. 🟨,
65', Tomalski H. 🟨,
66', Tomalski H. ↓, Siemaszko A. ↑,
73', Grobelny J. 🟨,
74', Siemaszko A. 🟨,
76', Kielb J. ↓, Vizinger D. ↑,
76', Prikryl T. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
80', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Bartosz J. ↑,
81', Luis M. ↓, Kopczynski M. ↑,
81', Borowski F. ↓, Savic S. ↑,
90+2', Zapolnik K. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Puszcza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.05.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0 ✺
29.04.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Korona Kielce	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LTWWT
- Warta Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.05.24	Warta Poznań - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
26.04.24	Piast Gliwice - Warta Poznań	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec	5:2 ✺
12.04.24	Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Warta Poznań	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
10.11.23	Warta Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:2
Polish Division 1
04.07.20	Warta Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2
22.10.19	Puszcza Niepołomice - Warta Poznań	0:2
01.12.18	Warta Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0
11.08.18	Puszcza Niepołomice - Warta Poznań	0:1
Polish Division 2
17.05.17	Puszcza Niepołomice - Warta Poznań	1:2
22.10.16	Warta Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0

Upcoming Matches