Match Info

FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Qingdao Youth Football Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Qingdao Hainiu		Guangxi Hengchen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	2.06	3.4	3.5
				Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.63	4.05	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.79)	3.54 ↓ (3.79)	3.96 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Hainiu
50.3%

Draw
26.3%

Guangxi Hengchen
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

24%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

26.4%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Qingdao Hainiu - Guangxi Hengchen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Guangxi Hengchen (1.77) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Guangxi Hengchen (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Qingdao Hainiu will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Guangxi Hengchen (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Mu Pengfei (G) 2. Xiao Kun 4. Jin Yangyang 3. Liu Junshuai 12. Chen Chunxin 8. Lin Chuangyi 31. Luo Senwen 25. Jia Feifan 30. Che Shiwei 10. Feng Boyuan 34. Jin Yonghao	45. Dai Jiatong (G) 19. Cen Liyi 5. Luan H. 4. Fang Zhengyang 15. Wang Tianqing 24. Deng H. 28. Wang Haozhi 25. Ren K. 47. Chen D. 29. Yao Zixuan 16. Ning W.
Substitutes
22. Han Rongze (G) 24. Hu Jinghang 33. Liu Jiashen 1. Liu Jun (G) 5. Sha Yibo 23. Song Long 19. Song Wenjie 18. Wang Zihao 42. Yang Cong 27. Zheng Long	11. Fei Ernanduo 58. Huang Y. 42. Ji Tianle 56. Ji X. 32. Li S. 22. Shen Bokai (G) 8. Wang H. 18. Wei Chaolun 3. Yuan X. 17. Zhang Huajun 27. Zhang Zijian
Coaches
Li Xiaopeng	Liu Junwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Jin Yonghao ⚽,
26', Wang Tianqing 🟨,
31', Luo Senwen 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Luo Senwen ⚽,
45', Luo Senwen ↓, Song Long ↑,
45', Jia Feifan ↓, Liu Jiashen ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wang Tianqing ↓, Ji X. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Ji X. ⚽,
60', Liu Junshuai ↓, Sha Yibo ↑,
60', Chen Chunxin ↓, Song Wenjie ↑,
61', Cen Liyi ↓, Yuan X. ↑,
71', Deng H. ↓, Wang H. ↑,
79', Fang Zhengyang ↓, Fei Ernanduo ↑,
79', Yao Zixuan ↓, Zhang Huajun ↑,
81', Jin Yonghao ↓, Hu Jinghang ↑,
90+4', Mu Pengfei 🟨,

Preview

Qingdao Hainiu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guangxi Hengchen is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Qingdao Hainiu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Qingdao Hainiu is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League
13.06.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao Hainiu	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu	0:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
17.05.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
09.05.25	Shanghai Port - Qingdao Hainiu	3:1 ✺
05.05.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTLW
- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Yi League
18.06.25	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Guangxi Hengchen	1:3 ✺
14.06.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Quanzhou Yassin	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Guangxi Hengchen	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Wuhan Three Towns B - Guangxi Hengchen	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Kunming City	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

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