Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Celtic Park (Glasgow)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Argentina	ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 3
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 6
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	HBO Max
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 6
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Scotland	BBC Scotland
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	TRT Spor
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports Ultimate
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Sport, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Virgin TV Go app


	Celtic		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.5
	2.65	3.5	2.5
	2.75	3.65	2.48	Watch
	2.77	3.7	2.56
	2.78	3.61	2.51	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.5
	2.82	3.89	2.45
	2.75	3.65	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.3)	3.64 ↓ (3.85)	2.5 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
35.1%

Draw
26.4%

RB Leipzig
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

24.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

24.8%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celtic's performance.

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RB Leipzig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celtic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RB Leipzig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.4%	22.2%	57.4%

Celtic - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 11 - 21.2%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 30 - 57.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 44.3% – 71.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmeichel K. (G) 2. Johnston A. 20. Carter-Vickers C. 6. Trusty A. 3. Taylor G. 27. Engels A. 42. McGregor C. (C) 41. Hatate R. 10. Kuhn N. 38. Maeda D. 8. Furuhashi K.	1. Gulacsi P. (G) 3. Geertruida L. 4. Orban W. (C) 5. Bitshiabu E. 39. Henrichs B. 7. Nusa A. 8. Haidara A. 44. Kampl K. 14. Baumgartner C. 30. Sesko B. 11. Openda L.
Substitutes
28. Bernardo P. 49. Forrest J. 9. Idah A. 14. McCowan L. 17. Nawrocki M. 7. Palma L. 56. Ralston A. 5. Scales L. 12. Sinisalo V. (G) 11. Valle A. 57. Welsh S. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun	19. Andre Silva 6. Elmas E. 47. Gebel V. 16. Klostermann L. 20. Ouedraogo A. 9. Poulsen Y. 13. Seiwald N. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 18. Vermeeren A.
Coaches
Rodgers B.	Rose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Kampl K. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Kuhn N. ⚽, Engels A. (A),
45+1', 2 - 1, Kuhn N. ⚽, Taylor G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Sesko B. 🟨,
67', Taylor G. ↓, Valle A. ↑,
67', Engels A. ↓, Bernardo P. ↑,
68', Sesko B. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
68', Nusa A. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Hatate R. ⚽,
73', Kuhn N. ↓, Yang Hyun-Jun ↑,
73', Carter-Vickers C. ↓, Scales L. ↑,
76', Baumgartner C. ↓, Ouedraogo A. ↑,
76', Haidara A. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
81', Furuhashi K. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
81', Openda L. ↓, Andre Silva ↑,

Preview

Celtic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Lukeba C. (Muscle Injury) Raum D. (Ankle Injury) Schlager X. (Knee Injury) Simons X. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Celtic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Celtic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish League Cup
02.11.24	Celtic - Aberdeen	6:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
30.10.24	Celtic - Dundee	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Motherwell - Celtic	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	Atalanta - Celtic	0:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
19.10.24	Celtic - Aberdeen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWTT
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
02.11.24	Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	RB Leipzig - St. Pauli	4:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.24	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	RB Leipzig - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.10.24	Mainz - RB Leipzig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
11.10.22	Celtic - RB Leipzig	0:2
05.10.22	RB Leipzig - Celtic	3:1
UEFA Europa League
08.11.18	Celtic - RB Leipzig	2:1
25.10.18	RB Leipzig - Celtic	2:0

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