Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Celtic Park (Glasgow) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Argentina	17:00	ESPN 3
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	17:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	ESPN 3
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	15:00	ESPN 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Ireland	20:00	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 6
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	HBO Max
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 6
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 4
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Scotland	20:00	BBC Scotland
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 2
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Turkey	23:00	TRT Spor
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United Kingdom	20:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports Ultimate
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Sport, TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app, Virgin TV Go app


	Celtic		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.5
	2.65	3.5	2.5
	2.75	3.65	2.48	Watch
	2.77	3.7	2.56
	2.78	3.61	2.51	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.5
	2.82	3.89	2.45
	2.75	3.65	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.3)	3.64 ↓ (3.85)	2.5 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
35.1%

Draw
26.4%

RB Leipzig
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29%

24.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

24.8%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celtic's performance.

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RB Leipzig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celtic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RB Leipzig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.4%	22.2%	57.4%

Celtic - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 11 - 21.2%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 30 - 57.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 44.3% – 71.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmeichel K. (G) 2. Johnston A. 20. Carter-Vickers C. 6. Trusty A. 3. Taylor G. 27. Engels A. 42. McGregor C. (C) 41. Hatate R. 10. Kuhn N. 38. Maeda D. 8. Furuhashi K.	1. Gulacsi P. (G) 3. Geertruida L. 4. Orban W. (C) 5. Bitshiabu E. 39. Henrichs B. 7. Nusa A. 8. Haidara A. 44. Kampl K. 14. Baumgartner C. 30. Sesko B. 11. Openda L.
Substitutes
28. Bernardo P. 49. Forrest J. 9. Idah A. 14. McCowan L. 17. Nawrocki M. 7. Palma L. 56. Ralston A. 5. Scales L. 12. Sinisalo V. (G) 11. Valle A. 57. Welsh S. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun	19. Andre Silva 6. Elmas E. 47. Gebel V. 16. Klostermann L. 20. Ouedraogo A. 9. Poulsen Y. 13. Seiwald N. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 18. Vermeeren A.
Coaches
Rodgers B.	Rose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Kampl K. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Kuhn N. ⚽, Engels A. (A),
45+1', 2 - 1, Kuhn N. ⚽, Taylor G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Sesko B. 🟨,
67', Taylor G. ↓, Valle A. ↑,
67', Engels A. ↓, Bernardo P. ↑,
68', Sesko B. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
68', Nusa A. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Hatate R. ⚽,
73', Kuhn N. ↓, Yang Hyun-Jun ↑,
73', Carter-Vickers C. ↓, Scales L. ↑,
76', Baumgartner C. ↓, Ouedraogo A. ↑,
76', Haidara A. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
81', Furuhashi K. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
81', Openda L. ↓, Andre Silva ↑,

Preview

Celtic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Lukeba C. (Muscle Injury) Raum D. (Ankle Injury) Schlager X. (Knee Injury) Simons X. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Celtic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Celtic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish League Cup
02.11.24	Celtic - Aberdeen	6:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
30.10.24	Celtic - Dundee	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Motherwell - Celtic	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	Atalanta - Celtic	0:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
19.10.24	Celtic - Aberdeen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWTT
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
02.11.24	Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	RB Leipzig - St. Pauli	4:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.24	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	RB Leipzig - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.10.24	Mainz - RB Leipzig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
11.10.22	Celtic - RB Leipzig	0:2
05.10.22	RB Leipzig - Celtic	3:1
UEFA Europa League
08.11.18	Celtic - RB Leipzig	2:1
25.10.18	RB Leipzig - Celtic	2:0

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