Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	beIN Sports


	Racing Montevideo		Argentinos Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.2
	3.4	3.1	2.2
	3.53	3.17	2.25
	3.53	3.17	2.22
	3.3	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.48	3.14	2.18	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.56)	3.15 ↓ (3.23)	2.19 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Montevideo
27.3%

Draw
29.8%

Argentinos Juniors
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

28.9%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

29.2%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Racing Montevideo - Argentinos Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Odriozola R. (G) 4. Cotugno G. 2. Magallanes H. 5. Monzon L. 17. Ferreira M. 21. Rodriguez L. 14. De Los Santos E. 7. Varela J. 20. Urretaviscaya J. 9. Nandin D. 27. Veron T.	50. Rodriguez D. (G) 18. Meza F. 19. Galvan J. 4. Godoy E. 6. Vega R. 10. Veron G. 17. Moyano F. 21. Oroz N. 26. Herrera J. 32. Gondou L. 11. Batallini D.
Substitutes
19. Airala C. 18. Alaniz A. 1. Bacchia R. (G) 3. Bueno G. 32. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 8. Gorocito L. 29. Hernandez A. 77. Mederos S. 52. Mendez E. 34. Pereira A. 6. Quinonez O. 10. Rivero J.	16. Alvarez F. 5. Cardozo J. 24. Chaves M. 36. Gamarra A. 15. Heredia L. 22. Lescano A. 7. Montiel S. 20. Prieto S. 9. Romero M. 23. Santamaria T. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 29. Viveros E.
Coaches
Espinel E.	Guede P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', Veron T. (Pen),
20', 1 - 0, Veron T. ⚽,
23', Veron G. 🟨,
26', Vega R. ↓, Prieto S. ↑,
27', 2 - 0, De Los Santos E. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Gondou L. ⚽, Prieto S. (A),
40', Nandin D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Prieto S. 🟨,
67', Batallini D. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
67', Herrera J. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
67', Godoy E. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
70', Rodriguez L. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
70', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Mendez E. ↑,
79', Nandin D. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
79', Veron T. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
84', Meza F. ↓, Viveros E. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Argentinos Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Argentinos Juniors have a series of home games.

Argentinos Juniors will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Racing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.05.24	Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	4:2 ✺
29.04.24	Racing Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.04.24	Nacional Asuncion - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.04.24	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Rampla Juniors - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTTW
- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	2:1 penalties ✺
15.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central	3:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Racing Montevideo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
09.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Racing Montevideo	0:3

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