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Las Palmas - Celta de Vigo

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Match Info

  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 9
  • Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Vega A. C. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Las Palmas Celta de Vigo
    Las Palmas Celta de Vigo
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.32 ↑
    (2.89)    		 3.54 ↑
    (3.5)    		 2.19 ↓
    (2.43)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Las Palmas
    28.9%    		Draw
    27.2%    		Celta de Vigo
    43.9%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    33.2% 27.4% 39.4%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    31.2% 29.2% 41.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-2%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    11.5% 19.2% 69.2%

    Las Palmas - Celta de Vigo Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Celta will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 51.5% โ€“ 86.9%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. CroatiaHorkas D. (G)
    18. SpainViti
      4. SpainAlex Suarez (C)
    28. SpainHerzog J.
    23. SpainMunoz A.
    24. BelgiumJanuzaj A.
      5. SpainJavier Munoz
    29. PortugalEssugo D.
    10. SpainMoleiro A.
    16. ScotlandMcBurnie O.
    37. PortugalSilva F.
    		13. SpainGuaita V. (G)
    22. SpainManquillo J.
      2. SwedenStarfelt C.
    20. SpainAlonso M.
      3. SpainMingueza O.
      8. SpainBeltran F.
      6. GuineaMoriba I.
    30. SpainAlvarez H.
    10. SpainAspas I. (C)
    19. SwedenSwedberg W.
      7. SpainIglesias B.
    Substitutes
      8. SpainCampana J.
      9. SpainCardona M.
    14. SpainFuster M.
    21. SpainGil I.
      6. SpainGonzalez F.
    30. ArgentinaKillane A. (G)
    12. FranceLoiodice E.
    17. SpainMata J.
      7. SpainPejino
    27. ArgentinaPezzolesi V.
    11. SpainRamirez B.
    22. NetherlandsSinkgraven D.
    		15. GhanaAidoo J.
    23. ArgentinaAllende T.
      5. SpainCarreira S.
    11. ArgentinaCervi F.
    24. SpainDominguez C.
      9. GreeceDouvikas A.
    18. SpainDuran P.
    12. SpainGonzalez A.
    25. SpainRodriguez D.
    32. SpainRodriguez J.
    33. SpainSotelo H.
      1. SpainVillar I. (G)
    Coaches
         SpainCarrion L.
    		     SpainGiraldez C.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 28', 0 - 1, Iglesias B. ⚽, Mingueza O. (A),
    • 32', Beltran F. 🟨,
    • 42', Manquillo J. 🟨,
    • 45+1', Silva F. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 52', Moriba I. 🟨,
    • 54', Moriba I. 🟨,
    • 54', Aspas I. 🟨,
    • 57', Aspas I. 🟨,
    • 57', Mingueza O. 🟨,
    • 58', Javier Munoz ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
    • 58', Munoz A. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
    • 61', Manquillo J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
    • 61', Swedberg W. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
    • 61', Iglesias B. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
    • 67', McBurnie O. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
    • 67', Silva F. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
    • 70', Mata J. 🟨,
    • 74', Alex Suarez ↓, Campana J. ↑,
    • 75', Douvikas A. 🟨,
    • 79', Alvarez H. ↓, Cervi F. ↑,
    • 82', Campana J. 🟨,
    • 90+2', Mingueza O. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,

    Preview

  • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 10).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 1.
  • Las Palmas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
  • Celta is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
  • Celta will have a small advantage in this match.
  • There will not play in Las Palmas: Marvin (Injury)
  • There will not play in Celta: Jailson (Thigh Injury) de la Torre L. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Las Palmas: Cillessen J. (Knee Injury) Marmol M. (Injury) McKenna S. (Thigh Injury) Ramirez S. (Injury)
  • Last 11 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:27 (average 1.9:2.5).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:12 (average 2.3:2).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - UD Las Palmas
    Spanish LaLiga
    30.09.24 Villarreal - Las Palmas 3:1 ✺
    26.09.24 Las Palmas - Betis 1:1 ✺
    21.09.24 Osasuna - Las Palmas 2:1 ✺
    15.09.24 Las Palmas - Athletic Bilbao 2:3 ✺
    01.09.24 Deportivo Alavรฉs - Las Palmas 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5
    LTLLL
    - Celta de Vigo
    Spanish LaLiga
    29.09.24 Celta de Vigo - Girona 1:1 ✺
    26.09.24 Celta de Vigo - Atlรฉtico Madrid 0:1 ✺
    22.09.24 Athletic Bilbao - Celta de Vigo 3:1 ✺
    15.09.24 Celta de Vigo - Valladolid 3:1 ✺
    01.09.24 Osasuna - Celta de Vigo 3:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8
    TLLWL
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    20.04.24 Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas 4:1
    02.10.23 Las Palmas - Celta de Vigo 2:1
    05.03.18 Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas 2:1
    16.10.17 Las Palmas - Celta de Vigo 2:5
    03.04.17 Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas 3:1
    30.10.16 Las Palmas - Celta de Vigo 3:3
    31.01.16 Las Palmas - Celta de Vigo 2:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - UD Las Palmas
    Spanish LaLiga2
    02.11.26 Real Oviedo - Las Palmas ✺
    - Celta de Vigo
    Spanish LaLiga
    31.10.26 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    28.10.26 Salamanca - Celta de Vigo ✺

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