Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Brígido Iriarte (Caracas)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)


	Rayo Zuliano		Sportivo Ameliano

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	2.25	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.2
	3.25	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.43	3.27	2.22
	3.43	3.27	2.21
	3.2	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.26	3.21	2.22	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.11)	3.23 ↑ (3.23)	2.2 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Zuliano
28.4%

Draw
29%

Sportivo Ameliano
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

29%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Zuliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Zuliano than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Rayo Zuliano - Sportivo Ameliano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rayo Zuliano will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Corredor L. (G) 33. Faria Angel 4. Rodriguez H. 22. Penilla E. 32. Barboza A. 13. Melean D. 18. Castro E. 43. Padron G. 11. Montiel K. 19. Ramirez S. 7. Colina Bracho J. A.	12. Rossi N. (G) 26. Gonzalez J. 3. Baez F. 4. Gutierrez T. 24. Martinich M. 7. Samudio A. 36. Martinez L. 8. Torales S. 40. Contrera A. 9. Bareiro S. 29. Valdez I.
Substitutes
37. Araque A. 14. Araujo A. 25. Julio J. 16. Martinez G. 88. Martinez J. 27. Mejia J. 39. Pagnano P. 10. Paz L. 77. Paz Y. 24. Quintero J. 70. Ramirez H. 29. Valdes D. (G)	18. Anibal 31. Aquino M. 14. Areco Sosa G. N. 13. Cabrera W. 1. Cristoforo F. (G) 20. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 23. Franco F. 22. Romero O. 32. Servian A. 17. Torales Richard 11. Vera F. 33. Villagra L.
Coaches
Martinez E.	Sarabia P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', Contrera A. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Valdez I. ⚽, Contrera A. (A),
40', Penilla E. 🟨,
45+1', Melean D. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Contrera A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ramirez S. ↓, Ramirez H. ↑,
46', Faria Angel ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
56', 0 - 3, Valdez I. ⚽,
60', 0 - 4, Martinich M. ⚽,
75', Contrera A. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
75', Torales S. ↓, Romero O. ↑,
82', Montiel K. ↓, Pagnano P. ↑,
82', Colina Bracho J. A. ↓, Araque A. ↑,
82', Samudio A. ↓, Anibal ↑,
82', Bareiro S. ↓, Villagra L. ↑,
88', Martinez L. 🟨,
88', Padron G. ↓, Paz Y. ↑,
89', Valdez I. ↓, Servian A. ↑,
90+7', Paz Y. 🟨,

Preview

Rayo Zuliano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sportivo Ameliano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sportivo Ameliano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Zuliano
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.04.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Rayo Zuliano	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Rayo Zuliano - Deportivo La Guaira	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.24	Athletico Paranaense - Rayo Zuliano	6:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.04.24	Carabobo - Rayo Zuliano	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.24	Rayo Zuliano - Danubio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLTL
- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.04.24	Sportivo Ameliano - General Caballero JLM	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.24	Danubio - Sportivo Ameliano	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.04.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Athletico Paranaense	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTTL

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