Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Brazil	ESPN 3


	Danubio		Sportivo Ameliano

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.25	4.2
	1.87	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.91	3.37	4.67
	1.85	3.37	4.67
	1.8	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.32	Watch
	1.85	3.35	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.8)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	4.34 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danubio
50.4%

Draw
28%

Sportivo Ameliano
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

28.4%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Danubio - Sportivo Ameliano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goicoechea M. (G) 4. Ancheta E. 20. Ferreira L. 3. Fracchia M. 22. Saravia F. 19. Romero S. 34. Lewis K. 39. Sanseviero L. 30. Fernandez S. 11. Rossi N. 33. Leyes G.	12. Rossi N. (G) 26. Gonzalez J. 4. Gutierrez T. 2. Patino Martinez J. 24. Martinich M. 21. Sarquis E. 30. Alfonso F. 29. Valdez I. 8. Torales S. 23. Franco F. 17. Torales Richard
Substitutes
27. Arguello M. 14. Brazionis 18. Bueno G. 2. Etchebarne S. 25. Montana A. 10. Monzeglio M. 15. Nunez R. 7. Pintos I. 26. Piriz D. 12. Rio J. (G) 17. Silvestre F. 8. Tizon C.	38. Adorno M. 31. Aquino M. 14. Areco Sosa G. N. 3. Baez F. 13. Cabrera W. 40. Contrera A. 1. Cristoforo F. (G) 5. Maiz A. 22. Romero O. 7. Samudio A. 11. Vera F. 33. Villagra L.
Coaches
Saralegui M.	Sarabia P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Patino Martinez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Leyes G. ↓, Pintos I. ↑,
46', Valdez I. ↓, Samudio A. ↑,
46', Franco F. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
51', Sarquis E. 🟨,
53', Martinich M. 🟨,
55', Lewis K. ↓, Tizon C. ↑,
55', Sanseviero L. ↓, Bueno G. ↑,
62', Fernandez S. ↓, Piriz D. ↑,
64', Alfonso F. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
65', Torales Richard ↓, Villagra L. ↑,
75', Patino Martinez J. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
81', Rossi N. ↓, Montana A. ↑,

Preview

Danubio is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sportivo Ameliano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sportivo Ameliano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Danubio is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.04.24	Danubio - Progreso	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.24	Rayo Zuliano - Danubio	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.03.24	Defensor Sporting - Danubio	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Danubio - Montevideo Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
13.03.24	Defensor Sporting - Danubio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLLL
- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.04.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Athletico Paranaense	1:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.03.24	Tacuary - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
18.03.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Sol de América	2:1 ✺
11.03.24	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTWL

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