The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reading 13.6%
Draw 20.2%
Fulham 66.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.9%
23.7%
59.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
13.8%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fulham's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-31.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fulham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.1%
7.8%
70.1%
Reading - Fulham Predictions
Users Predictions:
77 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 17 - 22.1%). Fulham will win (votes: 54 - 70.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 7.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 59.9% – 80.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Reading has the most likely position - 19 (9.72%), has project points - 55, has currently - 27, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fulham has the most likely position - 1 (59.73%), has project points - 90, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a good chance of promoted (85%), has a good chance of win league (60%).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Fulham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Fulham is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Reading won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-27.
Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-10.
Watch
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