The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luton Town 29.2%
Draw 23.8%
Fulham 46.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
25.4%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
24.9%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luton Town's form might have worsened.
Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fulham's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fulham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
15.6%
62.2%
Luton Town - Fulham Predictions
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 10 - 22.2%). Fulham will win (votes: 28 - 62.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 48% โ 76.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 27. Hashioka D. 15. Mengi T. 2. Osho G. 7. Ogbene C. 28. Lokonga A. S. 18. Clark J. 45. Doughty A. 9. Morris C. (C) 11. Adebayo E. 14. Chong T.
17. Leno B. (G) 2. Tete K. 13. Ream T. (C) 3. Bassey C. 33. Robinson A. 6. Reed H. 26. Palhinha J. 8. Wilson H. 22. Iwobi A. 11. Traore A. 7. Jimenez R.
Substitutes
8. Berry L. 38. Johnson J. 23. Krul T. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 32. Onyedinma F. 44. Piesold A. 1. Shea J. (G) 30. Townsend A. 10. Woodrow C.
12. Ballo-Toure F. 9. Broja A. 10. Cairney T. 21. Castagne T. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 18. Pereira A. 1. Rodak M. (G) 19. Rodrigo Muniz 20. Willian
Coaches
Edwards R.
Silva M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
17', Mengi T. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
22', Reed H. 🟨,
34', Lokonga A. S. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Traore A. ⚽, Wilson H. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Morris C. (Pen),
45+3', 1 - 2, Jimenez R. ⚽, Wilson H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Clark J. 🟨,
49', 1 - 3, Jimenez R. ⚽, Reed H. (A),
54', Robinson A. 🟨,
55', 2 - 3, Doughty A. ⚽,
59', Doughty A. 🟨,
68', 2 - 4, Wilson H. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
70', Clark J. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
73', Morris C. 🟨,
73', Traore A. 🟨,
75', Reed H. ↓, Cairney T. ↑,
75', Johnson J. 🟨,
76', Kaminski T. ↓, Shea J. ↑,
76', Ogbene C. ↓, Townsend A. ↑,
76', Adebayo E. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
79', Robinson A. ↓, Ballo-Toure F. ↑,
79', Traore A. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
88', Cairney T. 🟨,
90+1', Jimenez R. ↓, Rodrigo Muniz ↑,
90+1', Palhinha J. ↓, Castagne T. ↑,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 14).
Luton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Fulham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fulham will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.
Australia
Croatia
Czech-republic
Denmark
Finland
Greece
Netherlands
Norway
Poland
Serbia
Sweden
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Kaminski T. (G) 
Hashioka D. 
Mengi T. 
Ogbene C. 
Chong T. 
Leno B. (G) 
Ream T. (C) 
Bassey C. 
Palhinha J. 
Wilson H. 
Traore A. 
Jimenez R. 
Mpanzu P. 
Ballo-Toure F. 
Broja A. 
Cairney T. 
De Cordova-Reid B. 
Pereira A. 
Rodak M. (G) 
