The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real España 40.6%
Draw 29.1%
Motagua 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
27.5%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
28.4%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Real España - Motagua Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Lopez L. (G) 10. Benavidez J. (C) 39. Cacho D. 5. Flores F. 8. Garcia A. 6. Garcia D. 11. Hernandez E. 28. Mejia C. 36. Osorto R. 25. Pereira M. 30. Sayago D.
22. Ortiz L. (G) 21. Batiz J. 19. De Olivera R. 5. Discua O. 27. Macias J. 35. Melendez C. (C) 8. Melendez D. 17. Portillo J. 23. Reyes A. 34. Sacaza G. 4. Vega L.
Substitutes
13. Aceituno M. 19. Aparicio D. 54. Arana M. 12. Cruz N. 23. Lopez R. (G) 2. Ramos J. 7. Ritacco G. 52. Rochez J. 38. Roland D. 64. Salazar V. 18. Vuelto D. 35. Zavala D.
14. Barrios A. 3. Cacho P. 12. Diaz F. 24. Garcia J. 10. Gomez R. 15. Hernandez A. 36. Marinacci V. 30. Miranda J. 9. Moya J. 80. Oliva D. 16. Palma C. 26. Santamaria L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Benavidez J. ↓, Cruz N. ↑,
55', Flores F. 🟨,
62', Sayago D. ↓, Vuelto D. ↑,
64', De Olivera R. ↓, Moya J. ↑,
71', Melendez D. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
78', Reyes A. 🟨,
80', 1 - 0, Cruz N. ⚽,
86', Discua O. 🟨,
86', Macias J. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
86', Batiz J. ↓, Barrios A. ↑,
86', Cacho D. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
86', Garcia A. ↓, Aparicio D. ↑,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 4th in the Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 1.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Motagua may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Real España is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Real España has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:27 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real España against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 15:14 goals (averaging 1.5:1.4 per game).