Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	San Marcos		Sport Sébaco

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.50	2.32
	2.51	3.48	2.56	Watch
	2.58	3.46	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (3.45)	3.48 ↑ (3.35)	2.49 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marcos
36.8%

Draw
26.3%

Sport Sébaco
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

26.2%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

21.8%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marcos's performance.

Sport Sébaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Sébaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Marcos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

San Marcos - Sport Sébaco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals) and 5th in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals)).

San Marcos has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sport Sébaco has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Sport Sébaco could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Sport Sébaco has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Sport Sébaco is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, San Marcos has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sport Sebaco	9	3	2	4	9:17	-8	11
6	San Marcos	10	3	1	6	9:16	-7	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC San Marcos Nicaragua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
06.10.26	San Marcos - Diriangén	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	San Marcos - Municipal Jalapa	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Real Estelí - San Marcos	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	San Marcos - Walter Ferretti	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Rancho Santana - San Marcos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWLWW
- Sport Sébaco
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
10.09.26	Sport Sébaco - Diriangén	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua	1:3 ✺
02.09.26	Sport Sébaco - Walter Ferretti	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	0:5 ✺
22.08.26	Managua - Sport Sébaco	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
26.07.26	Sport Sébaco - San Marcos	1:1

San Marcos - Sport Sébaco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide