The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos 34.8%
Draw 26.8%
Sport Sébaco 38.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.5%
26.2%
48.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
24.4%
44.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marcos's performance.
Sport Sébaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Sébaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Sébaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
San Marcos - Sport Sébaco Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. San Marcos will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sport Sébaco will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, ⚽,
82', (Penalty Awarded),
82', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th and 6th in the Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners: Quarter - finals)).
In recent outings, San Marcos has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sport Sébaco is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Sport Sébaco could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Sport Sébaco has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, San Marcos has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.
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