Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Real Madrid Castilla		Castellón

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.38
	2.75	3	2.35
	2.8	3.1	2.5
	2.98	3.09	2.58
	2.98	2.93	2.58
	2.66	3.32	2.45
	2.85	3	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.41)	3.05 ↓ (3.45)	2.46 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
32.5%

Draw
30.2%

Castellón
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

26.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

25.2%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid Castilla's performance.

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Madrid Castilla - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Canizares L. (G) 39. Cuenca D. 4. Carrillo A. 16. Asencio R. 5. Marvel 20. Angel M. 6. Martin M. 17. Garcia G. 8. Zidane T. 22. Palacios C. 9. Rodriguez A.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 12. Chirino D. 5. Jimenez A. 17. Ruiz S. 11. Aurelio D. 8. Gracia J. 3. Lottin A. 16. Sanchez M. 15. Traore M. 22. Suero I. 9. de Miguel J.
Substitutes
29. Aparicio E. 21. De Leon J. 24. de Luis M. (G) 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 7. Lopez N. 19. Lorenzo 23. Munoz V. 3. Obrador R. 2. Tobias V.	26. Albert J. 13. Carney J. (G) 14. Gil O. 20. Iosifov N. 21. Kastaneer G. 4. Medunjanin H. 27. Minana S. 7. Moyita S. 10. Sanchez R. 24. Schwake B. (G) 33. Vertrouwd J. 19. Villahermosa D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Gracia J. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, de Miguel J. ⚽,
30', Ruiz S. 🟨,
38', Asencio R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Aurelio D. ⚽,
53', Lottin A. ↓, Moyita S. ↑,
53', Traore M. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
76', Chirino D. ↓, Gil O. ↑,
76', Gracia J. ↓, Villahermosa D. ↑,
86', Ruiz S. ↓, Vertrouwd J. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.03.24	Atlético Madrid B - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Antequera	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Melilla - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Real Murcia	5:1 ✺
17.02.24	Algeciras - Real Madrid Castilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWWL
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.03.24	Castellón - Córdoba	2:3 ✺
10.03.24	Alcoyano - Castellón	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Castellón - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Atlético Baleares - Castellón	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Mérida AD - Castellón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.10.23	Castellón - Real Madrid Castilla	4:1
05.03.22	Castellón - Real Madrid Castilla	3:0
05.12.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Castellón	1:2

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