Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Unión de Irun		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	3
	2.25	3	2.9
	2.41	3	3.05
	2.45	3.05	3.18
	2.39	2.89	3.09	Watch
	2.4	2.93	3.09
	2.41	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.85)	2.95 ↑ (2.85)	3.05 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
38.7%

Draw
31.2%

Athletic Bilbao B
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

31.4%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Unión de Irun's performance.

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Unión de Irun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wright J. (G) 2. Santos S. 5. Dominguez J. 4. Olaortua I. 15. Mosquera Y. 24. Munroe F. 8. Bilbao I. 10. Rivero Q. 21. San Bartolome V. 20. Sergio Benito 11. Obieta K.	25. Santos M. (G) 24. Louis-Jean J. 4. Dunabeitia A. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 17. Aguilar Elizalde E. 16. Lete E. 8. Gerenabarrena B. 29. Perez A. 18. Canales P. 19. Azkune E. 23. Hierro A.
Substitutes
7. Aranzabe A. 9. Benito A. 17. Cayarga B. 22. Garrido D. 18. Lozano A. 3. Marquez J. 25. Perez C. (G) 6. Quintana A. 16. Vidorreta A.	3. De Luis J. 12. Elias J. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 22. Irurita X. 14. Izaguirre A. 11. Olabarrieta A. 31. Oyono I. 10. Sanchez I. 9. Sanz I. 26. Sola J. 7. Varela I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Obieta K. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Perez A. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Rivero Q. (Pen),
42', San Bartolome V. 🟨,
45+1', Ebro Cortina E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lete E. ↓, Oyono I. ↑,
46', Louis-Jean J. ↓, Irurita X. ↑,
62', Munroe F. 🟨,
62', Perez A. ↓, Olabarrieta A. ↑,
67', San Bartolome V. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
67', Santos S. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
70', 3 - 1, Munroe F. ⚽,
70', Hierro A. ↓, Sanz I. ↑,
78', Sergio Benito ↓, Benito A. ↑,
78', Bilbao I. ↓, Vidorreta A. ↑,
84', Cayarga B. 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 2.

Real Unión has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Athletic Bilbao B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:21 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Unión won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Lugo - Real Unión de Irun	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	5:0 ✺
09.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:3 ✺
15.11.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:3 ✺
02.11.24	Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.04.23	Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1
15.01.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Unión de Irun	0:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.04.22	Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1
23.10.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Unión de Irun	0:0
Club Friendly
11.08.21	Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.03.21	Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1
10.01.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Unión de Irun	0:0

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