Match Info

Date: 22 September 2021, Wednesday


	Red Bull Bragantino		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.3	5.5
	1.7	3.2	5.1	Watch
	1.57	3.6	6.2
	1.69	3.47	5.87
	1.7	3.2	5.5	Watch
	1.69	3.52	5.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)	3.38 ↓ (3.57)	5.6 ↑ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
55.8%

Draw
27.5%

Libertad Asuncion
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

25.7%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

15%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Libertad Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Red Bull Bragantino - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Bragantino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Libertad is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Bragantino is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
18.09.21	Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
29.08.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
23.08.21	América Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.08.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLTWW
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.09.21	River Plate Asunción - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
12.09.21	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Copa Paraguay
01.09.21	Atlético Juventud Loma Pytá - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.08.21	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	5:0 ✺
23.08.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWT

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