Match Info

Date: 5 May 2022, Thursday


	Red Bull Bragantino		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.4
	1.86	3.25	4.3
	1.74	3.5	4.6
	1.78	3.71	4.91
	1.88	3.2	3.9	Watch
	1.78	3.62	4.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.11)	3.48 ↑ (3.08)	4.45 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
52.1%

Draw
26.9%

Vélez Sársfield
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29.8%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.9%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino's performance.

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vélez Sársfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vélez Sársfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	10.3%	5.1%

Red Bull Bragantino - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: Red Bull Bragantino will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

RB Bragantino is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Vélez is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match RB Bragantino is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
30.04.22	Ceará - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.04.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.04.22	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.04.22	Goiás - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.04.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Goianiense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLTWW
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Tigre	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
23.04.22	Barracas Central - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
20.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	1:2 ✺
17.04.22	Godoy Cruz - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
14.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2

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