Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 30

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Mexico	Fanatiz
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
Usa	Fanatiz


	Red Bull Bragantino		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.55
	2.15	3.44	3.47
	2.30	3.57	2.92	Watch
	2.17	3.4	3.48	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.25)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	3.3 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
43.5%

Draw
27.7%

Vasco da Gama
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

26.6%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Red Bull Bragantino - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Vasco (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Vasco (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (4.09) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 1 - 25%). Vasco (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (C) 45. Nathan Mendes 14. Pedro Henrique 4. Alix Vinicius 29. Juninho Capixaba 5. Fabinho 35. Matheus Fernandes 33. Laquintana I. 10. Jhon Jhon 21. Lucas Barbosa 8. Eduardo Sasha	1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 46. Cuesta C. 30. Robert Renan 6. Lucas Piton 88. Cauan Barros 3. Tche Tche 11. Gomez C. A. 10. Coutinho 17. Moreira N. 99. Vegetti P.
Substitutes
18. Borbas T. 27. Davi Gomes 7. Eric Ramires 37. Fabricio (G) 11. Fernando 6. Gabriel 16. Gustavo Marques 22. Gustavo Neves 30. Mosquera H. 25. Praxedes 32. Sant'Anna A. 12. Vanderlan	13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 19. GB 25. Hugo Moura 43. Lucas Freitas 29. Lucas Oliveira 85. Mateus Carvalho 9. Matheus Franca 18. Paulinho Paula 2. Rodriguez J. 23. Thiago Mendes 12. Victor Luis
Coaches
Fernando Seabra	Fernando Diniz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽,
41', Tche Tche 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Laquintana I. ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
62', Moreira N. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
62', Tche Tche ↓, Hugo Moura ↑,
69', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
69', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Fernando ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Vegetti P. ⚽,
77', Jhon Jhon 🟨,
79', Fabinho ↓, Praxedes ↑,
79', Alix Vinicius ↓, Vanderlan ↑,
86', Vegetti P. ↓, GB ↑,
86', Coutinho ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
89', 0 - 3, GB ⚽, Gomez C. A. (A),
90', Gomez C. A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 2.

In recent matches, RB Bragantino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vasco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

RB Bragantino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Bruninho (Inactive) Davi Gomes (Knee Injury) Eduardo Santos (Ankle Injury) Pitta I. (Hamstring Injury) Rodriguez G. (Injury) Vinicinho (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) Jair (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Sant'Anna A. (Knock)

There are questionable in Vasco: Rayan (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Bragantino - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.34%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
20.10.25	Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
15.10.25	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	5:1 ✺
04.10.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
01.10.25	Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWTT
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
20.10.25	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador	4:3 ✺
01.10.25	Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
31.05.25	Vasco da Gama - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2
03.08.24	Vasco da Gama - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2
17.04.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Vasco da Gama	2:1
06.12.23	Vasco da Gama - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1
14.08.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Vasco da Gama	1:1
20.01.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Vasco da Gama	4:1
27.09.20	Vasco da Gama - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1

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