Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Canada	beIN Connect
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Voyo
France	DAZN 1, DAZN 3, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Le Havre		Reims

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.35
	3.15	3.2	2.38
	3.34	3.22	2.42
	3.32	3.12	2.42	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.38
	3.37	3.24	2.44	Watch
	3.15	3.2	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.26)	3.17 ↓ (3.38)	2.38 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
29.5%

Draw
30.2%

Reims
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.2%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

28%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	36%	44%

Le Havre - Reims Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Reims will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reims: 27.4% – 68.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Desmas A. (G) 22. Salmier Y. 6. Youte Kinkoue E. 4. Lloris G. 5. Targhalline O. 32. Pembele T. 94. Toure A. (C) 8. Kechta Y. 27. Operi C. 11. Sabbi E. 28. Ayew A.	94. Diouf Y. (G) 23. Buta 2. Okumu J. 5. Agbadou E. (C) 18. Akieme S. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 15. Munetsi M. 72. Kone A. 7. Ito J. 22. Diakite O. 17. Nakamura K.
Substitutes
10. Casimir J. 1. Gorgelin M. (G) 46. Housni I. 21. Joujou A. 14. Kuzyaev D. 19. Ndiaye R. 7. Nego L. 45. Soumare I. 18. Zouaoui Y.	25. De Smet T. 67. Diakhon M. 71. Fofana Y. 19. Gabriel Moscardo 21. Kipre C. 92. Kone A. 20. Olliero A. (G) 11. Salama A. 10. Teuma T.
Coaches
Digard D.	Elsner L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', Agbadou E. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Diakite O. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Nakamura K. ⚽, Akieme S. (A),
23', Digard D. 🟥,
28', Akieme S. 🟨,
32', Diakite O. 🟨,
40', Buta ↓, Kone A. ↑,
45+1', Toure A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 3, Ito J. ⚽,
69', Sabbi E. ↓, Soumare I. ↑,
69', Salmier Y. ↓, Casimir J. ↑,
71', Kone A. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
71', Diakite O. ↓, Salama A. ↑,
80', Toure A. ↓, Kuzyaev D. ↑,
85', Ito J. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
86', Nakamura K. ↓, Teuma T. ↑,
86', Kechta Y. ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
88', Okumu J. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 1.

Le Havre is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Reims is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reims will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Le Havre: El Hajjam O. (Calf Injury) Kitala Y. (Foot Injury) Logbo A. (Knee Injury) Mosengo D. N. (Knee Injury) Ngoura S. (Groin Injury) Sangante A. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury) Teuma T. (Hamstring Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:10 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
03.11.24	Le Havre - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
25.10.24	Rennes - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Le Havre - Lyon	0:4 ✺
06.10.24	Brest - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Le Havre - Lille	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL
- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
03.11.24	Toulouse - Reims	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Reims - Brest	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Auxerre - Reims	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Reims - Montpellier	4:2 ✺
29.09.24	Angers - Reims	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
25.02.24	Le Havre - Reims	1:2
20.12.23	Reims - Le Havre	1:0
Club Friendly
22.07.20	Reims - Le Havre	3:0
French Ligue 2
30.04.18	Reims - Le Havre	0:1
06.11.17	Le Havre - Reims	0:0
31.03.17	Le Havre - Reims	1:1
28.10.16	Reims - Le Havre	1:0

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