Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	Bold+, Sport Live
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hungary	Selekt, Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	VG+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Antel TV
Usa	Fubo Latino
World	Onefootball


	Alverca		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	9.5	5	1.19	Watch
	9	5.5	1.29
	10.5	5.9	1.24	Watch
	10.72	6.37	1.26
	10.49	6.22	1.26	Watch
	9.5	5.75	1.25
	11.3	6.59	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.14 ↑ (9.75)	5.9 ↑ (5.57)	1.25 ↓ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
9.2%

Draw
15.9%

Sporting Lisbon
74.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.7%

16.9%

73.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Alverca - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Alverca (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alverca (votes: 1 - 50%). Sporting (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gomes A. (G) 4. Naves 5. Gomez S. (C) 33. Meupiyou B. 2. Touaizi N. 26. Rhaldney 18. Lincoln 12. James I. 20. Figueiredo 10. Chiquinho 91. Sandro Lima	1. Silva R. (G) 22. Fresneda I. 72. Quaresma E. 25. Inacio G. 11. Santos N. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 5. Morita H. 10. Catamo G. 17. Trincao 8. Goncalves P. 97. Suarez L.
Substitutes
14. Baseya S. 19. Clairicia M. 98. Garcia F. 6. Gui D. 9. Marezi 3. Martinez J. 31. Matheus Mendes (G) 17. Moreira V. 82. Spencer D.	23. Braganca D. 6. Debast Z. 26. Diomande O. 15. Faye S. 91. Mangas R. 90. Nel R. 52. Simoes J. 13. Vagiannidis G. 12. Virginia J. (G)
Coaches
Custodio	Borges R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Goncalves P. ⚽,
24', Inacio G. 🟨,
27', Santos N. ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', Suarez L. 🟨,
50', 0 - 2, Suarez L. ⚽, Morita H. (A),
65', Lincoln ↓, Gui D. ↑,
65', Sandro Lima ↓, Marezi ↑,
65', Chiquinho ↓, Moreira V. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Catamo G. ⚽, Hjulmand M. (A),
72', Inacio G. ↓, Debast Z. ↑,
72', Morita H. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
75', Figueiredo ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,
80', Gomez S. ↓, Baseya S. ↑,
82', Fresneda I. ↓, Mangas R. ↑,
82', Suarez L. ↓, Nel R. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Marezi ⚽, James I. (A),
85', Touaizi N. 🟨,
86', 1 - 4, Goncalves P. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

Recent performances by Alverca have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sporting is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alverca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sporting is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Alverca: Abdulai S. (Injury) Diarra S. (Muscle Injury) Mendes T. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Sporting: Ioannidis F. (Knee Injury) Kochorashvili G. (Injury) Mangas R. (Knee Injury) Quenda G. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba (Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting: Araujo M. (Injury) Luis Guilherme (Injury) Taibo Dominguez L. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alverca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Alverca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sporting CP	8	5	3	0	20:9	11	18
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting Lisbon - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 73.41%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Liga Portugal
14.03.26	Gil Vicente - Alverca	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Alverca - AVS	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Alverca	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Alverca - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Tondela - Alverca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTTTT
- Sporting Lisbon
UEFA Champions League
17.03.26	Sporting Lisbon - Bodø Glimt	5:0 ET ✺
11.03.26	Bodø Glimt - Sporting Lisbon	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.03.26	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
03.03.26	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
27.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
31.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Alverca	2:0
Portuguese League Cup
28.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Alverca	5:1
Taça de Portugal
17.10.19	Alverca - Sporting Lisbon	2:0

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