Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos)

Referee: Guelho S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Antel TV
Usa	Fubo Latino


	Gil Vicente		Alverca

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	5	Watch
	1.72	3.45	4.95
	1.75	3.58	5.39
	1.72	3.58	5.19	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.8	Watch
	1.77	3.69	5.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)	3.55 ↓ (3.73)	5.08 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gil Vicente
54.8%

Draw
26.6%

Alverca
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.9%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gil Vicente - Alverca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gil Vicente will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gil Vicente will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lucao (G) 20. Hevertton S. 4. Elimbi M. 39. Buatu J. (C) 3. Konan G. 5. Caseres F. 10. Esteves L. 77. Murilo de Souza 95. Garcia S. 27. Moreira A. 89. Varela G.	13. Gomes A. (G) 4. Naves 5. Gomez S. (C) 33. Meupiyou B. 2. Touaizi N. 26. Rhaldney 18. Lincoln 12. James I. 20. Figueiredo 10. Chiquinho 91. Sandro Lima
Substitutes
29. Carlos Eduardo 48. Espigares A. 32. Fernandez M. 99. Figueira Daniel (G) 80. Rodrigues R. 7. Toure T. 26. Weverson 2. Ze Carlos 6. Ze Carlos	14. Baseya S. 19. Clairicia M. 98. Garcia F. 6. Gui D. 9. Marezi 3. Martinez J. 31. Matheus Mendes (G) 17. Moreira V. 82. Spencer D.
Coaches
Peixoto C.	Custodio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Moreira A. ⚽, Esteves L. (A),
35', Buatu J. 🟨,
37', Rhaldney 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Sandro Lima ⚽, Chiquinho (A),
59', Garcia S. 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, Moreira A. ⚽, Garcia S. (A),
72', Caseres F. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
73', Moreira A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
73', Hevertton S. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
75', Rhaldney ↓, Gui D. ↑,
75', Sandro Lima ↓, Marezi ↑,
79', Ze Carlos 🟨,
82', Varela G. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
83', Figueiredo ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
83', James I. ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,
88', Esteves L. ↓, Espigares A. ↑,
90', Chiquinho ↓, Moreira V. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Naves ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Gil Vicente is the team to beat.

There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M. (Inactive) Mutombo J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Alverca: Abdulai S. (Injury) Diarra S. (Muscle Injury) Mendes T. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Toure T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Gil Vicente	7	3	2	2	6:5	1	11
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
08.03.26	Estrela da Amadora - Gil Vicente	2:2 ✺
02.03.26	Gil Vicente - Benfica	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Estoril Praia - Gil Vicente	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Gil Vicente - Braga	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Moreirense - Gil Vicente	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLWW
- FC Alverca
Liga Portugal
07.03.26	Alverca - AVS	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Alverca	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Alverca - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Tondela - Alverca	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Benfica - Alverca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
24.10.25	Alverca - Gil Vicente	0:4

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