Match Info

Date: 2 February 2022, Wednesday


	Rio Ave		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	8.5
	1.4	4.2	7.5
	1.4	4.3	6.4
	1.38	4.4	7.8
	1.41	4.57	8.93
	1.35	4.2	8
	1.39	4.45	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.81)	4.33 ↑ (3.42)	7.82 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
66.8%

Draw
21.4%

Covilhã
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

21.5%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Ave's performance.

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Covilhã might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Covilhã could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.6%	12.2%	12.2%

Rio Ave - Covilhã Predictions

Users Predictions: 82 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 62 - 75.6%). Covilhã will win (votes: 10 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Ave: 66.3% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 15).

Rio Ave is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Covilhã is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rio Ave could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Rio Ave is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rio Ave won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Ave won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Portuguese Liga 2
30.01.22	Rio Ave - Varzim	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Rio Ave - Farense	2:1 ✺
19.01.22	Académica Coimbra - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.01.22	Rio Ave - Tondela	0:1 ET ✺
23.12.21	Rio Ave - BSAD	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWLW
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
30.01.22	Covilhã - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
24.01.22	Académico de Viseu - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
18.01.22	Covilhã - Feirense	2:2 ✺
09.01.22	Covilhã - Estrela da Amadora	1:3 ✺
20.12.21	Covilhã - Varzim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese League Cup
11.01.17	Rio Ave - Covilhã	2:0
26.01.14	Covilhã - Rio Ave	1:3

Upcoming Matches