Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto Grisales (Rionegro)

Referee: Montano W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Rionegro Águilas		Deportivo Pasto

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.9	Watch
	1.78	3.3	4.2
	2.12	2.98	3.7	Watch
	2.13	2.98	4.12
	2.19	3.13	3.48	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.6
	2.14	2.89	3.89	Watch
	2.1	2.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.82)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)	3.86 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rionegro Águilas
44.6%

Draw
31.3%

Deportivo Pasto
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

28.8%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rionegro Águilas's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rionegro Águilas: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Rionegro Águilas (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Rionegro Águilas (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rionegro Águilas (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arboleda I. (G) 26. Lozano D. 29. Lopes H. 5. Hernandez D. 32. Mena J. 25. Roa J. 19. Lozano F. (C) 16. Pineda J. 15. Charales F. 99. Obregon J. 10. Uruena B.	12. Banguera G. (G) 33. Garavito M. 2. Torijano F. (C) 5. Gil N. 21. Velasco E. 6. Caicedo J. 15. Mancilla H. 10. Chavez D. 18. Micolta Piedahita J. 29. Cordoba S. 11. Estupinan A.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez A. 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 90. Benitez Hernandez R. A. 17. Blandon T. 11. Canozales C. 30. Lara Vasquez N. 9. Rivaldo J. 7. Rojas C. 12. Salazar A. (G)	17. Bernal J. 23. Goez Y. 27. Goyes H. 1. Herrerin I. (G) 3. Jimenez M. S. 13. Martinez F. 19. Morelo W. 7. Perlaza J. 32. Pisano M.
Coaches
Nino J.	Risueno J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Uruena B. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Estupinan A. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Garavito M. 🟨,
35', Chavez D. 🟨,
39', Mena J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lozano D. ↓, Rivaldo J. ↑,
46', Obregon J. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
56', Chavez D. ↓, Goez Y. ↑,
58', Charales F. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
62', Caicedo J. 🟨,
69', 0 - 2, Estupinan A. ⚽, Caicedo J. (A),
71', Mancilla H. 🟨,
72', Roa J. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
75', Avalo Trejos J. E. 🟨,
80', 1 - 2, Rivaldo J. ⚽, Uruena B. (A),
82', Cordoba S. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
82', Estupinan A. ↓, Perlaza J. ↑,
82', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 1.

In this match, Rionegro Águilas is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Aguilas	12	3	6	3	16:17	-1	15
18	Dep. Pasto	12	2	3	7	9:18	-9	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
18.01.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
13.11.25	Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Rionegro Águilas - Envigado	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLLWW
- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
18.01.26	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
13.11.25	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
27.10.25	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Pereira	4:0 ✺
24.10.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
12.10.25	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto	2:2
21.04.25	Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas	1:0
29.10.24	Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas	3:1
06.04.24	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto	0:1
30.09.23	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto	3:0
10.06.23	Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas	3:0
28.05.23	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto	0:0

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