Match Info

Date: 5 January 2021, Tuesday


	River Plate Montevideo		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	5	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4.75
	1.83	3.35	4.35
	1.8	3.3	4.5
	1.85	3.49	4.78
	1.85	3.3	4.6
	1.83	3.54	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.88)	3.41 ↑ (3.26)	4.64 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
52%

Draw
27.7%

Palmeiras
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28.7%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

18.7%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.6%	8.5%	14.9%

River Plate Montevideo - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 36 - 76.6%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 7 - 14.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 64.5% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently River Plate have a series of guest games.

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.01.21	Boca Juniors - River Plate Montevideo	2:2 ✺
27.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
20.12.20	Huracán - River Plate Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.12.20	San Lorenzo - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.12.20	Nacional - River Plate Montevideo	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWTW
- Palmeiras
Copa do Brasil
30.12.20	América Mineiro - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.12.20	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.12.20	Palmeiras - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.12.20	Internacional RS - Palmeiras	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.12.20	Palmeiras - Libertad Asuncion	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
14.04.16	Palmeiras - River Plate Montevideo	4:0
16.02.16	River Plate Montevideo - Palmeiras	2:2

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