Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	Rochdale		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.8
	3.8	3.75	1.85
	4.15	3.75	1.85
	3.85	3.65	1.83
	4.2	3.94	1.86
	3.8	3.6	1.85
	4.1	4.1	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.79)	3.79 ↑ (3.7)	1.85 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
23.6%

Draw
25%

Charlton Athletic
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

25.5%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

19.9%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlton Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rochdale - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 18 and 8).

Rochdale has a chance of relegated (23%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Charlton has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Charlton is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English League One
30.01.21	Bristol Rovers - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
26.01.21	Rochdale - Oxford United	3:4 ✺
23.01.21	Gillingham - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
19.01.21	Doncaster Rovers - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
16.01.21	Rochdale - Wigan Athletic	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLTLT
- Charlton Athletic
English League One
02.02.21	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
26.01.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
23.01.21	Charlton Athletic - Swindon Town	2:2 ✺
19.01.21	Peterborough United - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
16.01.21	Bristol Rovers - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
12.01.21	Charlton Athletic - Rochdale	4:4
04.05.19	Charlton Athletic - Rochdale	4:0
27.10.18	Rochdale - Charlton Athletic	1:0
05.05.18	Rochdale - Charlton Athletic	1:0
21.11.17	Charlton Athletic - Rochdale	2:1
18.02.17	Rochdale - Charlton Athletic	3:3
01.10.16	Charlton Athletic - Rochdale	0:1

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