Match Info

Date: 26 January 2021, Tuesday


	Rochdale		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	4	3.9	1.83
	4.25	3.7	1.78
	4	3.95	1.82
	3.95	3.6	1.82
	4.18	3.98	1.85
	4	3.6	1.8
	4.33	3.85	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↓ (4.13)	3.8 ↑ (3.68)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
23.1%

Draw
25%

Oxford United
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

25.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

20.9%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oxford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.9%	11.5%	61.5%

Rochdale - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Oxford will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 18 and 11).

Rochdale has a chance of relegated (33%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Oxford has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Rochdale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oxford in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Oxford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Oxford is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English League One
23.01.21	Gillingham - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
19.01.21	Doncaster Rovers - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
16.01.21	Rochdale - Wigan Athletic	3:3 ✺
12.01.21	Charlton Athletic - Rochdale	4:4 ✺
09.01.21	Rochdale - Crewe Alexandra	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLTTT
- Oxford United
English League One
23.01.21	Oxford United - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.01.21	Oxford United - Cambridge United	1:0 ✺
English League One
02.01.21	Burton Albion - Oxford United	1:5 ✺
29.12.20	Plymouth Argyle - Oxford United	2:3 ✺
26.12.20	Oxford United - AFC Wimbledon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
03.11.20	Oxford United - Rochdale	3:1
26.10.19	Oxford United - Rochdale	3:0
12.03.19	Rochdale - Oxford United	0:0
27.11.18	Oxford United - Rochdale	4:2
28.04.18	Oxford United - Rochdale	2:1
16.12.17	Rochdale - Oxford United	0:0
21.01.17	Rochdale - Oxford United	0:4

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