The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rochdale 23%
Draw 24.4%
Milton Keynes Dons 52.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.6%
24.7%
50.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19%
19.1%
65.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milton Keynes Dons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
34.5%
20.7%
44.8%
Rochdale - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%). MK Dons will win (votes: 13 - 44.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 26.7% – 62.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 18 and 16).
Rochdale has a chance of relegated (31%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
MK Dons has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Rochdale is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches MK Dons is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Rochdale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently MK Dons have a series of home games.
In this match MK Dons is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.