Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Rochdale		Notts County

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.75	3.1
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.15	3.3	3.2
	2.2	3.35	2.9
	2.21	3.31	3.23
	2.15	3.4	3.2
	2.15	3.54	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.64)	3.41 ↓ (3.93)	3.12 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
43%

Draw
27.2%

Notts County
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

23.3%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

15.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rochdale's form might have worsened.

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rochdale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Rochdale - Notts County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches Rochdale is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Notts County is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rochdale will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English EFL Trophy
02.11.21	Rochdale - Bolton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
English League Two
30.10.21	Barrow - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
23.10.21	Rochdale - Sutton United	3:2 ✺
19.10.21	Salford City - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
16.10.21	Swindon Town - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWTT
- Notts County
English National League
30.10.21	Grimsby Town - Notts County	0:1 ✺
26.10.21	Notts County - Bromley	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Notts County - Stockport County	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
19.10.21	Notts County - Tamworth	4:0 ✺
16.10.21	Tamworth - Notts County	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
04.10.16	Rochdale - Notts County	2:1
English League One
17.03.15	Notts County - Rochdale	1:2
20.12.14	Rochdale - Notts County	2:2
28.02.12	Rochdale - Notts County	N/A

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