Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	18:45	SuperSport 3
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, Flow Eventos
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	18:45	VOOsport World 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Bulgaria	19:45	Ring, Voyo
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	Disney+
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 2
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	21:45	Setanta Sport 3, Silk Sport 3
Germany	18:45	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	17:45	Stod 2 Sport 2
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	19:45	Sport 3
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	11:45	Fox Sports
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
North Central America	—	SportsMax Caribbean
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 4
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 1
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 4
South Africa	19:45	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	CBS, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	22:45	Zor TV
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+, Prima+ app, SportsMax App


	Roma		Braga

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4.75
	1.71	3.8	4.75
	1.72	4	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.95	4.87
	1.72	3.86	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.6
	1.8	3.96	4.82
	1.72	4.05	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.68)	3.9 ↑ (3.65)	4.76 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Roma
55.3%

Draw
24.5%

Braga
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55%

25.3%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

25.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.1%	7.6%	6.3%

Roma - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (67 of 78 users predict this - 85.9%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.18% – 93.62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 15. Hummels M. 5. Ndicka E. 12. Abdulhamid S. 61. Pisilli N. 17. Kone M. 59. Zalewski N. 18. Soule M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 21. Dybala P.	1. Matheus (G) 13. Ferreira J. 15. Oliveira P. 3. Robson Bambu 11. Fernandes R. 29. Gorby 8. Moutinho J. 20. Gharbi I. 77. Martinez G. 9. El Ouazzani A. 21. Horta R. (C)
Substitutes
3. Angelino 35. Baldanzi T. 66. Buba Aboubacar 19. Celik Z. 11. Dovbyk A. 92. El Shaarawy S. 22. Hermoso M. 28. Le Fee E. 89. Marin R. (G) 98. Ryan M. (G) 56. Saelemaekers A. 14. Shomurodov E.	26. Arrey-Mbi B. 90. Fernandez Jaen R. 2. Gomez V. 91. Hornicek L. (G) 10. Horta A. 19. Marin A. 33. Marques J. 53. Noro J. 25. Ribeiro Y. 12. Sa T. (G) 6. Vitor Carvalho 16. Zalazar R.
Coaches
Ranieri C.	Carvalhal C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Pellegrini Lo. ⚽, Zalewski N. (A),
32', Fernandes R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Robson Bambu ↓, Marin A. ↑,
46', Dybala P. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Abdulhamid S. ⚽, Kone M. (A),
48', Carvalhal C. 🟨,
50', Horta R. 🟨,
56', Moutinho J. ↓, Zalazar R. ↑,
56', Horta R. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
68', Matheus 🟥,
70', Gharbi I. ↓, Hornicek L. ↑,
73', Hummels M. 🟨,
73', Soule M. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
73', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Saelemaekers A. ↑,
74', Hummels M. ↓, Hermoso M. ↑,
74', El Ouazzani A. ↓, Fernandez Jaen R. ↑,
85', Pisilli N. ↓, Le Fee E. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Hermoso M. ⚽,

Preview

Roma is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Braga is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Roma is a favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Cristante B. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Braga: Oliveira P. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Celik Z. (Thigh Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Roma won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
07.12.24	Roma - Lecce	4:1 ✺
02.12.24	Roma - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Roma	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
24.11.24	Napoli - Roma	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Roma - Bologna	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLL
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
06.12.24	Braga - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	AVS - Braga	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Braga - Hoffenheim	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.24	Leixões - Braga	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
10.11.24	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.23	Braga - Roma	1:1
UEFA Europa League
25.02.21	Roma - Braga	3:1
18.02.21	Braga - Roma	0:2

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