The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rosario Central 71.3%
Draw 18.9%
Libertad Asuncion 9.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.2%
23.3%
15.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.4%
22.9%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosario Central's performance.
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Libertad Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosario Central that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Libertad Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Rosario Central - Libertad Asuncion Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
EH -2 - draw (4.09) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Ledesma C. (G) 32. Coronel E. 46. Ovando I. 13. Avila G. 3. Sandez A. 28. Fernandez P. 20. Pizarro V. 16. Gimenez E. 11. Di Maria A. (C) 8. Campaz J. 9. Veliz A.
12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 2. Ramirez I. 3. Rojas R. 5. Viera D. 14. Fretes A. 18. Franco I. 21. Sanabria L. 6. Campuzano A. 8. Carrizo F. 11. Aguilar G. 10. Melgarejo L. (C)
Substitutes
1. Broun J. (G) 7. Cabrera M. 22. Copetti E. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 31. Navarro F. 39. Oviedo F. 2. Quintana C. 47. Raffin L. 35. Ramos L. 10. Segovia S. 33. Soto A. 42. Veron E.
26. Caballero H. 35. Diaz E. 31. Fernandez T. 4. Gimenez N. 25. Gonzalez A. (G) 22. Martinez H. 27. Molinas A. 19. Recalde J. 7. Rojas M. 34. Villalba E. 23. Villalba P. 24. Villalba R.
Coaches
Almiron J.
Aquino S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Aguilar G. 🟨,
33', Sandez A. 🟨,
35', Rojas R. 🟨,
43', Di Maria A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Campaz J. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
46', Franco I. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Ovando I. ⚽,
64', Avila G. 🟨,
66', Carrizo F. 🟨,
72', Sandez A. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
73', Veliz A. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
76', Sanabria L. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
80', Carrizo F. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
80', Aguilar G. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
81', Avila G. ↓, Quintana C. ↑,
86', Gimenez E. ↓, Veron E. ↑,
90', Ramirez I. ↓, Villalba E. ↑,
90+1', Recalde J. 🟨,
Preview
Rosario has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Libertad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Libertad has had a series of home games.
In this match, Rosario is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Rosario: Avila G.
(Inactive)
Campaz J.
(Inactive)
Coronel E.
(Inactive)
Di Maria A.
(Inactive)
Duarte G.
(Inactive)
Gimenez E.
(Inactive)
Gimenez J.
(Knee Injury)
Ibarra F.
(Yellow Cards)
Komar J.
(Heart Problems)
Ruben M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sandez A.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Libertad: Benitez A.
(Inactive)
Duarte A.
(Inactive)
Fernandez H.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Rosario: Duarte L.
(Injury)
We predict that Rosario will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Rosario won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.