Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 19

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	São Paulo		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.20	3.90	Watch
	2.00	3.25	4.00
	1.95	3.25	4.10	Watch
	2.15	3.19	4.16
	2.06	3.33	3.84	Watch
	2.08	3.10	4.10
	2.02	3.32	4.26	Watch
	2.09	3.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.99)	3.24 ↓ (3.31)	4.04 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

São Paulo
46.8%

Draw
29.5%

Athletico Paranaense
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.5%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20%	13.3%

São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - São Paulo (1.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 5. Robert Arboleda 2. Toloi R. 18. Wendell 16. Bobadilla D. 29. Pablo Maia 8. Marcos Antonio 37. Artur 9. Jonathan Calleri (C) 10. Luciano	23. Santos (C) 4. Arthur Dias 33. Aguirre F. 37. Esquivel L. 12. Gilberto 16. Jadson 14. Luiz Gustavo 7. Mendoza S. 8. Joao Cruz 21. Leozinho 9. Viveros K.
Substitutes
17. Andre Silva 56. Bosshardt N. 31. Carlos Coronel (G) 80. Cauly 94. Danielzinho 48. Djhordney 34. dos Santos P. 11. Ferreira 53. Isac 54. Luis Osorio 43. Santana G. 27. Victor Sa	26. Claudinho 63. Diogo Riquelme 53. Dudu Kogitzki 2. Gilberto Junior 11. Isaac 3. Leo 6. Leo Derik 42. Mateus Soares (G) 27. Portilla J. 70. Renan Peixoto 19. Rivaldo J. 22. Teran C.
Coaches
Dorival Junior	Hellmann O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Arthur Dias 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Artur ⚽,
23', Toloi R. ↓, Luis Osorio ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Arthur Dias ↓, Teran C. ↑,
46', Joao Cruz ↓, Claudinho ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Leozinho ⚽,
51', 1 - 2, Leozinho ⚽, Esquivel L. (A),
64', Pablo Maia ↓, Ferreira ↑,
64', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
74', Bobadilla D. ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
75', Lucas Ramon ↓, Victor Sa ↑,
76', Leozinho ↓, Isaac ↑,
83', Gilberto ↓, Gilberto Junior ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3.

São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

São Paulo might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in São Paulo: Cauly (Inactive) Lucas Moura (Achilles Tendon Injury) Luciano (Inactive) Sabino (Injury)

There will not play in Athletico PR: Dantas (Inactive) Mycael (Inactive)

There are questionable in São Paulo: Maik (Inactive) Robert Arboleda (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Athletico-PR: 0.33% Sao Paulo: 0.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Athletico-PR	29	14	8	7	45:34	11	50
9	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	35:35	0	39

Last Results with these Odds

São Paulo - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 47.4%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
31.05.26	Remo - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	São Paulo - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.05.26	São Paulo - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.26	São Paulo - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.05.26	Fluminense - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWTTL
- Athletico Paranaense
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Boca Juniors - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.05.26	Athletico Paranaense - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Remo - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Athletico Paranaense - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
06.08.25	Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo	2:0 penalties
31.07.25	São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense	2:1
Brazilian Serie A
09.11.24	São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense	2:1
03.07.24	Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo	1:2
29.10.23	Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo	1:1
21.06.23	São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense	2:1
31.07.22	Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo	1:0

Upcoming Matches