Match Info

J2 League - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sagan Tosu		Fujieda MYFC

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.40	3.90	Watch
	1.85	3.20	3.75
	1.86	3.40	3.80	Watch
	1.96	3.62	4.02
	1.81	3.74	4.08	Watch
	1.89	3.55	3.90
	1.91	3.43	3.93	Watch
	1.92	3.40	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.81)	3.47 ↓ (3.77)	3.9 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagan Tosu
49.4%

Draw
26.8%

Fujieda MYFC
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.8%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

24.2%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Fujieda MYFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fujieda MYFC than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sagan Tosu - Fujieda MYFC Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matsubara S. (G) 44. Abe K. 37. Morishita R. 26. Ando T. 28. Yoshida M. 21. Toyoda A. 6. Sakurai T. 7. Sakamoto K. 18. Hyon R. 16. Nishizawa K. (C) 9. Takahashi T.	24. Yoshida S. (G) 16. Mori Y. 5. Kusumoto T. (C) 3. Suzuki S. 6. Okamoto T. 38. Shimano R. 66. Nagao Y. 19. Kondo Y. 17. Kawamoto R. 41. Uehata U. 11. Manabe H.
Substitutes
42. Goto H. 4. Imazu Y. 1. Izumori R. (G) 13. Jojo K. 41. Matsuoka H. 5. Nagasawa S. 20. Nakahara H. 19. Park Ho-Min 43. Yoshino K.	97. Aoki S. 23. Kajikawa R. 20. Kanemoto W. 26. Kawamoto T. 77. Kitahara M. 31. Kurisu D. (G) 2. Matsuda K. 4. Nakagawa S. 8. Tsunoda Y.
Coaches
Kogiku A.	Makino T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Uehata U. ↓, Kitahara M. ↑,
46', Hyon R. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
64', Manabe H. ↓, Kanemoto W. ↑,
69', Takahashi T. ↓, Goto H. ↑,
69', Nishizawa K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
73', Morishita R. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
76', Yoshida M. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
79', Okamoto T. ↓, Nakagawa S. ↑,
83', Suzuki S. ↓, Matsuda K. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 0, Goto H. ⚽, Nakahara H. (A),

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 17th and 7th).

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

In this matchup, Tosu is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tosu has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0 (averaging 0.5:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tosu against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fujieda MYFC	10	3	4	3	13:11	2	13
14	Sagan Tosu	10	3	2	5	9:12	-3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Fujieda MYFC - the odds 3.95 are the expected chance of winning is 23.64%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 League
04.10.26	Blaublitz Akita - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Sagan Tosu - Tokyo Verdy	2:1 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Vissel Kobe - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
19.09.26	Sagan Tosu - Iwaki	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLL
- Fujieda MYFC
Japan J2 League
03.10.26	Fujieda MYFC - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Fujieda MYFC - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Oita Trinita - Fujieda MYFC	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Kyoto Sanga - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
19.09.26	Fujieda MYFC - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
23.11.25	Fujieda MYFC - Sagan Tosu	0:0
05.04.25	Sagan Tosu - Fujieda MYFC	1:0

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