Match Info

FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/32-finals

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Canada	beIN Connect
China	ZhiBo8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, France 3, Free, Molotov TV
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	TVC Deportes
Norway	VG+
Puerto-rico	Fox Sports 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Usa	beIN Connect, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com
World	Fanatiz


	Saint-Étienne		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.9	1.55	Watch
	5	4	1.55
	5.4	4.25	1.58	Watch
	5.39	4.34	1.61
	5.34	4.26	1.59	Watch
	5	4	1.57
	5.2	4.25	1.57
	5.4	4.25	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.19 ↓ (6.06)	4.16 ↓ (4.38)	1.58 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Coupe De France with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Sports 2

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
18.1%

Draw
22.5%

Olympique Marseille
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

21.5%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

21.2%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Saint Étienne - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maubleu B. (G) 8. Appiah D. 2. Batubinsika D. 5. Abdelhamid Y. (C) 3. Pedro K. 6. Bouchouari B. 4. Ekwah P. 7. Mouton L. 10. Cafaro M. 9. Sissoko I. 11. Davitashvili Z.	1. De Lange J. (G) 2. Murillo M. 5. Balerdi L. (C) 4. Kondogbia G. 7. Luis Henrique 6. Rongier V. 8. Hojbjerg P. 3. Merlin Q. 10. Greenwood M. 11. Rabiot A. 9. Maupay N.
Substitutes
19. Aiki A. 14. Briancon A. 20. Fall C. 15. Fomba L. 16. Larsonneur G. (G) 18. Makhloufi M. 12. Miladinovic I. 13. Sahraoui J. 17. Stassin L.	18. Brassier L. 13. Cornelius D. 14. Garcia U. 12. Harit A. 19. Kone I. 20. Nadir B. 17. Rowe J. 16. Rulli G. (G) 15. Wahi E.
Coaches
Huard L.	De Zerbi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', Sissoko I. 🟥,
22', 0 - 1, Greenwood M. ⚽, Luis Henrique (A),
24', Cafaro M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Rabiot A. ⚽, Luis Henrique (A),
35', Bouchouari B. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
42', Mouton L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mouton L. ↓, Sahraoui J. ↑,
46', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
59', Ekwah P. 🟨,
63', Rabiot A. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
63', Greenwood M. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
69', 0 - 3, Luis Henrique ⚽,
70', Merlin Q. ↓, Garcia U. ↑,
70', Maupay N. ↓, Wahi E. ↑,
74', Rowe J. 🟨,
74', Abdelhamid Y. 🟨,
75', Kondogbia G. ↓, Cornelius D. ↑,
80', Cafaro M. ↓, Stassin L. ↑,
81', 0 - 4, Hojbjerg P. ⚽, Rowe J. (A),
86', Ekwah P. ↓, Miladinovic I. ↑,
90', Miladinovic I. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 1.

Saint-Étienne is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marseille is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Marseille is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 17:35 (average 0.9:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
13.12.24	Toulouse - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Saint-Étienne - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Rennes - Saint-Étienne	5:0 ✺
23.11.24	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Lyon - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
14.12.24	Olympique Marseille - Lille	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Saint-Étienne - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Olympique Marseille - Monaco	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Lens - Olympique Marseille	1:3 ✺
08.11.24	Olympique Marseille - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
08.12.24	Saint-Étienne - Olympique Marseille	0:2
03.04.22	Saint-Étienne - Olympique Marseille	2:4
28.08.21	Olympique Marseille - Saint-Étienne	3:1
Club Friendly
28.07.21	Olympique Marseille - Saint-Étienne	2:1
French Ligue 1
09.05.21	Saint-Étienne - Olympique Marseille	1:0
17.09.20	Olympique Marseille - Saint-Étienne	0:2
05.02.20	Saint-Étienne - Olympique Marseille	0:2

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