Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 29 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV5
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
United-kingdom	Sky Sports


	Salford City		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	8	4.75	1.36
	6.5	4.7	1.45
	7.49	5.31	1.37
	4	3.6	1.67
	7.2	5.15	1.39	Watch
	7	5.2	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.7 ↑ (4.53)	4.79 ↑ (3.87)	1.44 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
14.2%

Draw
19.8%

Leeds United
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

24.3%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

26.3%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salford City's form might have worsened.

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leeds United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leeds United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	4.5%	81.8%

Salford City - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: Leeds United will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cairns A. (C) 32. Shephard L. 5. Mariappa A. 16. Tilt C. 24. Bolton L. 29. Garbutt L. 14. Mallan S. 4. Ashley O. 7. Watson R. 9. Hendry C. 17. Smith M.	28. Darlow K. (G) 17. Shackleton J. 5. Cresswell C. 21. Struijk P. (C) 33. Hjelde L. F. 4. Ampadu E. 22. Gray A. 29. Gnonto W. 10. Summerville C. 24. Rutter G. 30. Gelhardt J.
Substitutes
10. Bailey O. 23. Berkoe K. 36. Dackers M. 8. Lund M. 18. McAleny C. 11. McLennan C. 50. Olopade T. 42. Vassell T. 13. Wright J. (G)	2. Ayling L. 26. Bate L. 37. Drameh C. 19. Greenwood S. 18. Gyabi D. 13. Klaesson K. (G) 1. Meslier I. (G) 14. Rodon J. 23. Sinisterra L.
Coaches
Wood N.	Farke D.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Salford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leeds is a favorite.

There will not play in Leeds: Cooper L. (Foot Injury) Dallas S. (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Leeds: Bamford P. (Injury) Firpo J. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Salford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Salford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
26.08.23	Salford City - Accrington Stanley	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Tranmere Rovers - Salford City	3:4 ✺
15.08.23	Grimsby Town - Salford City	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Salford City - Crawley Town	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Preston North End - Salford City	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLTW
- Leeds United
English League Championship
26.08.23	Ipswich Town - Leeds United	3:4 ✺
18.08.23	Leeds United - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Birmingham City - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.23	Leeds United - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
English League Championship
06.08.23	Leeds United - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
13.08.19	Salford City - Leeds United	0:3

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