The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Salyut Belgorod 75%
Draw 17.6%
Zenit Penza 7.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.4%
21.3%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.2%
20.4%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salyut Belgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salyut Belgorod's performance.
Zenit Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zenit Penza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salyut Belgorod than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salyut Belgorod that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zenit Penza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zernaev V. (G) 27. Bukatov S. 70. Elesin E. 88. Faskhutdinov V. 95. Krikunenko A. 55. Nabatov E. 67. Ponomarev N. 87. Prokurorov A. 18. Vinnikov I. 33. Volkov A. 96. Zorn A.
1. Zaynullin T. (G) 10. Aftaev D. 8. Datsenko A. A. 17. Egorov E. 7. Konoplev D. 29. Korolev D. 11. Popov G. 18. Prozorov V. 31. Pustovitenko Y. 19. Sayfutdinov M. 69. Terechev Y.
Substitutes
71. Abramov S. (G) 6. Borovikov D. 9. Gagua D. 31. Gnedoy D. (G) 26. Gribanov D. 77. Kudrevatyi Y. 61. Matvevnin D. 13. Sergeev V. 11. Shabaydakov M.
95. Chernyshev A. 58. Degtev S. (G) 27. Kolesin N. 9. Komissarov A. 14. Polufakin E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Faskhutdinov V. ⚽,
26', Datsenko A. A. 🟨,
33', Prozorov V. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Bukatov S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sayfutdinov M. ↓, Kolesin N. ↑,
46', Popov G. ↓, Komissarov A. ↑,
66', Vinnikov I. ↓, Gagua D. ↑,
66', Ponomarev N. ↓, Sergeev V. ↑,
80', Elesin E. ↓, Matvevnin D. ↑,
80', Faskhutdinov V. ↓, Gribanov D. ↑,
82', 🟨,
83', Volkov A. ↓, Kudrevatyi Y. ↑,
85', Egorov E. ↓, Chernyshev A. ↑,
90', Krikunenko A. 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 8).
Salyut is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Zenit Penza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Zenit Penza has had a series of home games.
In this match, Salyut is considered a favorite.
We predict that Salyut will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salyut won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 3.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Salyut won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 5:0.5).
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Zernaev V. (G) 
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