Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Arteaga A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport


	San Lorenzo		Liverpool Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.6	3.5	6.25
	1.62	3.6	5.95	Watch
	1.62	3.66	6.6
	1.62	3.66	6.51
	1.55	3.5	5.8	Watch
	1.59	3.57	6.65	Watch
	1.57	3.55	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.55)	3.58 ↓ (3.7)	6.31 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
58.8%

Draw
26.3%

Liverpool Montevideo
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

25%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

24.5%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

San Lorenzo - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: San Lorenzo will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Gomez G. (G) 8. Giay A. 35. Lujan G. (C) 22. Campi G. 21. Braida M. 17. Irala E. 5. Remedi E. 41. Leguizamon I. 10. Barrios N. 28. Cuello A. 27. Herazo D.	55. Guruceaga G. (G) 24. Amaro K. 14. Rosso J. 3. de los Santos M. 15. Rodriguez D. 18. Cayetano A. (C) 22. Garcia Cardozo D. G. 7. Lemos L. 8. Barrios M. 19. Rodriguez L. 11. Ocampo M.
Substitutes
37. Baez E. 29. Blanco S. 7. Cerutti E. 1. Clemente M. (G) 18. Ferreira C. 2. Hernandez N. 36. Herrera D. 34. Medina T. 46. Perez S. M. 50. Perruzzi F. 6. Sanchez C. 32. Tapia I.	32. Bregante F. 17. Franco N. 10. Gonzalez A. 21. Lentinelly S. (G) 9. Machado R. 23. Martinez E. 2. Rodriguez I. 20. Vergara H. 31. Wasilewsky L.
Coaches
Romagnoli L.	Alfaro E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Leguizamon I. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ⚽,
32', Irala E. 🟨,
33', Barrios M. 🟨,
36', Lemos L. 🟨,
42', Cuello A. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 1, Cuello A. ⚽, Remedi E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Amaro K. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
50', Barrios N. 🟨,
51', Leguizamon I. 🟨,
60', Ocampo M. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
60', Barrios M. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Rodriguez L. ⚽, Cayetano A. (A),
67', Barrios N. ↓, Ferreira C. ↑,
78', Leguizamon I. ↓, Medina T. ↑,
85', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
87', 3 - 2, Campi G. ⚽, Ferreira C. (A),
89', Rodriguez D. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
90', Herazo D. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
90', Irala E. ↓, Perruzzi F. ↑,
90', Rosso J. ↓, Vergara H. ↑,
90+3', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
90+3', de los Santos M. 🟥,
90+6', Ferreira C. 🟨,

Preview

San Lorenzo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Liverpool is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Liverpool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently San Lorenzo have a series of guest games.

Recently Liverpool have a series of home games.

In this match San Lorenzo is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.05.24	Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.05.24	San Lorenzo - Independiente del Valle	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Liverpool Montevideo - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.04.24	Central Córdoba - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.04.24	Independiente del Valle - San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTL
- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.05.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.05.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Palmeiras	0:5 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.05.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Progreso - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.24	Liverpool Montevideo - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
23.04.24	Liverpool Montevideo - San Lorenzo	1:0

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