Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Liverpool Montevideo		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.37
	3.1	3	2.45	Watch
	3.23	3.1	2.5
	3.23	3.06	2.49
	3	3	2.3	Watch
	3.12	3.01	2.46	Watch
	3.1	3	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3.12)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	2.42 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
29.9%

Draw
31.2%

San Lorenzo
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

27.4%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	85.7%	14.3%

Liverpool Montevideo - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Guruceaga G. (G) 14. Rosso J. 3. de los Santos M. 23. Martinez E. 18. Cayetano A. 7. Lemos L. 8. Barrios M. 24. Amaro K. 22. Garcia Cardozo D. G. 11. Ocampo M. 19. Rodriguez L.	13. Altamirano F. (G) 35. Lujan G. 4. Romana J. 22. Campi G. 21. Braida M. 17. Irala E. 50. Perruzzi F. 8. Giay A. 34. Medina T. 10. Barrios N. 11. Bareiro A.
Substitutes
32. Bregante F. 26. Ferrer G. 17. Franco N. 10. Gonzalez A. 21. Lentinelly S. (G) 27. Lopez Y. 9. Machado R. 25. Pombo Giudice J. (G) 2. Rodriguez I. 5. Silva M. 20. Vergara H. 31. Wasilewsky L.	37. Baez E. 29. Blanco S. 7. Cerutti E. 28. Cuello A. 25. Gomez G. (G) 27. Herazo D. 2. Hernandez N. 41. Leguizamon I. 20. Porra T. 5. Remedi E. 6. Sanchez C. 32. Tapia I.
Coaches
Alfaro E.	Romagnoli L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Lujan G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Romana J. 🟨,
60', Perruzzi F. ↓, Remedi E. ↑,
60', Lujan G. ↓, Leguizamon I. ↑,
63', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
69', Medina T. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
77', Amaro K. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
77', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
77', Ocampo M. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
87', Remedi E. 🟨,
89', Barrios N. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
90', Irala E. ↓, Porra T. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, Franco N. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Liverpool is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Lorenzo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Lorenzo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.04.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
16.04.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Liverpool Montevideo	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.04.24	Palmeiras - Liverpool Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.04.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.04.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Independiente del Valle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLWT
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.04.24	Central Córdoba - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.04.24	Independiente del Valle - San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.04.24	San Lorenzo - Defensa y Justicia	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.04.24	San Lorenzo - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.03.24	Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLTL

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