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Current Win Probability
Independiente del Valle 59.5%
Draw 25.1%
San Lorenzo 15.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.6%
27.2%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
26.3%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente del Valle that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Independiente del Valle - San Lorenzo Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 53.8% – 96.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ramirez M. (G) 4. Landazuri A. 14. Carabajal M. 5. Schunke R. 15. Caicedo B. 80. Ortiz J. 30. Ibarra R. 16. Paez K. 18. Zabala C. 10. Sornoza J. 11. Hoyos M.
13. Altamirano F. (G) 35. Lujan G. 4. Romana J. 22. Campi G. 21. Braida M. 17. Irala E. 50. Perruzzi F. 8. Giay A. 41. Leguizamon I. 10. Barrios N. 11. Bareiro A.
Substitutes
50. Arroyo K. 17. Bolanos A. 13. Fernandez M. 31. Ibarra R. 53. Lerma Soliz J. A. 9. Lopez R. 51. Medina Y. 7. Mercado P. 6. Pombo J. 56. Ruiz E. 22. Villar G. (G) 2. Zarate L.
37. Baez E. 7. Cerutti E. 18. Ferreira C. 25. Gomez G. (G) 27. Herazo D. 36. Herrera D. 24. James J. 34. Medina T. 49. Perugini T. 20. Porra T. 6. Sanchez C. 32. Tapia I.
Coaches
Gandolfi J.
Insua R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Sornoza J. (Pen),
14', Caicedo B. 🟨,
32', Perruzzi F. 🟨,
32', Barrios N. 🟨,
32', Paez K. 🟨,
36', Sornoza J. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
45+1', 2 - 0, Hoyos M. ⚽, Medina Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Irala E. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
52', Barrios N. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
57', Ibarra R. ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
57', Caicedo B. ↓, Zarate L. ↑,
71', Bareiro A. 🟨,
71', Bareiro A. ↓, Medina T. ↑,
83', Campi G. 🟨,
89', Paez K. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
89', Hoyos M. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
Preview
Two teams are playing changeable.
San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently San Lorenzo have a series of home games.
In this match Independiente del Valle is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente del Valle won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Independiente del Valle won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Australia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Watch
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Ramirez M. (G) 
Carabajal M. 
Romana J. 
Leguizamon I. 
Fernandez M. 
Lopez R. 
Herrera D. 
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